LineStar® Weekly Pylon - Championships Round Chalk Report

NFL DFS Chalk Report Written By: LineStar Tyler

Tyler's Tidbits 👇

What a wild week of football last week! Hopefully, we get 2 more great games this week. With this being a 2 game slate do not shy off of a chalky guy if you think they are going to smash. Just make sure you find some lower-owned guys to get a little different.

Chalk QB 🤦🏻

Highest owned QBs:

  1. Patrick Mahomes 55% owned

  2. Joe Burrow 22%

Patrick Mahomes, BUF | DK: $7.6k, FD: $8.8k | vs. KC

· Likely around 55% owned on both sites

· CIN ranked 26th allowing 259.0 Pass Yards (Last 9)

· CIN ranked 24th allowing 1.7 Pass TDs (Last 9)

· Highest team implied total of 30.8

Pivot QB

Around 75% of the QB ownership is going towards KC/CIN. What if the RBs luck into a few of the TDs and Mahomes or Burrow only have 2 TDs? Then it opens a great opportunity for Matt Stafford to be in the optimal lineup.

Matt Stafford, LAR | DK: $6.3k, FD: $7.5k | vs. SF

· Likely around 15% owned.

· SF gets crushed by WRs, and Stafford has a couple of great ones.

· 2nd highest implied total on the slate of 24.8.

RB Chalk

Cam Akers, LAR | DK: $5k, FD: $6.2k | vs. SF

· 55+% owned on both sites

· Played 80% of snaps last week, but fumbled twice!

· Over the last 2 weeks he has had the most redzone attempts out of all the RBs left in the playoffs.

Joe Mixon, CIN | DK: $6.8k, FD: $8.2k | vs. KC

· Around 30% on both sites

· Mixon has been averaging 6.5 targets a game over the last 4 weeks giving him a great floor.

· KC ranked 1st allowing 0.3 Rush TDs (Last 9)

Pivot RB

Clyde Edwards-Helaire, KC | DK: $5.3k, FD: $5.7k | vs. CIN

· Around 25% on DK and 35% on FD

· CIN has been giving up 131.3 yards and 1TD rushing over the last 4 weeks

· In CEH's first week back from injury he only saw 30% of the snaps but saw 41% of the carries. If CEH sees more workload this week he could be in a prime leverage spot on this slate.

Eli Mitchell, SF | DK: $5.9k, FD: $7k | vs. LAR

· 35% on both sites

· Elijah has been averaging 23.25 touches per game over the last 4 weeks.

· Averaged 88 rushing yards vs LAR this year. If he can add a TD to that he will likely be in the optimal lineup.

WR Chalk

Tyreek Hill, KC | DK: $7k, FD: $8.2k | vs.CIN

· Around 60% on both sites

· The price on DK is so cheap for his upside, however, only had 6 receptions for 40 yards vs CIN in week 17.

· Over the last 3 weeks Hill has had 21 Targets, and Byron Pringle has 22

· There is a chance with the emergence of Pringle that Hill has gone back to his boom-bust ways than the study performer we saw for 75% of the regular season when KC had no true WR2.

Cooper Kupp, LAR | DK: $8.8k, FD: $9.7k | vs. SF

· 55% on both sites

· SF ranked 29th allowing 158.7 Rec Yards to WR (Last 9)

· SF ranked 25th allowing 1.2 Rec TDs to WR (Last 9)

· Kupp is averaging 28 fantasy points vs SF this season.

Ja'Marr Chase, CIN | DK: $6.7k, FD: $8k | vs. KC

· Around 42% on both sites.

· KC ranked 27th allowing 1.6 Rec TDs to WR (Last 9)

· KC ranked 28th allowing 179.3 Rec Yards to WR (Last 9)

Pivot WR’s

Tee Higgins, CIN | DK: $5.7k, FD: $6.4k | vs. KC

· Around 22% on both sites

· KC ranked 27th allowing 1.6 Rec TDs to WR (Last 9)

· KC ranked 28th allowing 179.3 Rec Yards to WR (Last 9)

· I could easily see KC wanting to make sure Chase does not beat them leaving Higgins roaming around with single coverage. If that happens Higgins will eat.

Byron Pringle, SF | DK: $4.3k, FD: $5.7k | vs. CIN

· Around 20% on both sites

· Pringle has solidified himself as the WR2 on this team.

· Highest implied team total and Pringle has 3 TDs in the last 2 games.

Jauan Jennings, SF | DK: $3.2k, FD: $4.9 | vs. LAR

· 3% owned on both sites

· Jennings has been playing between 51% and 63% of the snaps over the last 3 weeks, and over those 3 weeks, has many targets as Aiyuk and 1 more than Deebo. Deebo-13 Aiyuk-14 Jennings-14

· In week 18 Jennings had 6 rec for 94 yards and 2 TDs vs LAR

TE Chalk

Travis Kelce, KC | DK: $6.5k, FD: $7.7 | vs. CIN

· 40% on both sites

· CIN ranked 29th allowing 0.4 Rec TDs to TE (Last 9)

· CIN ranked 32nd allowing 70.6 Rec Yards to TE (Last 9)

Pivot TE:

CJ Uzomah, CIN | DK: $65.3k, FD: $5.6k | vs. KC

· 20% on DK, 14% on FD. On Fanduel he is only $200 cheaper than Kittle.

· Averaging 6.8 targets a game over the last 4 weeks

· Has big-play ability in the highest total game of the week.

Thank You for reading, and good luck this week!

If you have any questions please hit me up in the LineStar Chat @LineStarTyler.

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