NFL DFS Chalk Report Written By: LineStar Tyler

Tyler's Tidbits 👇

I hope everyone had a great week and is now ready to sit down and watch some football! Only 4 games this weekend so all the same small slate rules apply.

Let's get to the fun!

Chalk QB 🤦🏻

Highest owned QBs:

1. Josh Allen 26% owned

2. Patrick Mahomes 25%

Josh Allen, BUF | DK: $7.6k, FD: $8.8k | vs. KC

·    Likely around 26+% owned on both sites

·    KC ranked 25th allowing 250.0 Pass Yards (Last 9)

·    KC ranked 31st allowing 39.1 Pass Attempts (Last 9)

·    Allen provides extra upside now that they are calling designed runs for him, over the last 4 games he has been averaging 9.5 attempts for 68.5 rushing yards.

Pivot QB

KC/BUF is getting a ton of ownership with good reason, however, TB vs LAR has a great chance of being a shootout and GB has the second-highest implied team total. Due to this, I like Stafford, Rodgers, and Brady. All 3 look to be in the 8-12% owned range.

Matt Stafford, LAR | DK: $6.2k, FD: $7.4k | vs. TB

·     Likely around 8% owned.

·     TB ranked 32nd allowing 40.8 Pass Attempts (Last 9)

·     TB has a pass funnel D, and LAR has great pass-catching options.

Tom Brady, TB | DK: $6.2k, FD: $7.4k | vs. LAR

·     Likely around 11% owned.

·     Never count out the GOAT

·     Has some interesting cheap stacking options with Miller or Grayson.

RB Chalk

Devin Singletary, BUF | DK: $5.9k, FD: $7.2k | vs. KC

·     32+% owned on both sites

·    KC ranked 1st allowing 0.2 Rush TDs (last 9)

·    TDs are king on these small slates and if he doesn't get in the box he won't be optimal.

Derrick Henry, TEN | DK: $7.5k, FD: $9k | vs. CIN

·     Around 30% on both sites

·     News just broke that Henry will not be limited in today's game.

·     CIN is ranked 26th vs the run over the last 4 games.

Pivot RB

Eli Mitchell, SF | DK: $5.8k, FD: $7.3k | vs. GB

·     Around 18% on both sites

·     IF SF is able to stay in this game it will be due to the running game.

·     Mitchell will likely get 25 touches, lots of volume at a low price.

·     He has been in the perfect lineup 6 of his last 10 games

AJ Dillion, GB | DK: $5.1k, FD: $6.1k | vs. SF

·    5% on both sites

·    Since week 10 Dillion has played a similar amount of snaps as Jones. He comes in much cheaper and would likely be the guy to run the clock out IF GB gets to a big lead.

·    Lineup Construction note: I won't play Dillion and Mitchell in the same lineup.

WR Chalk

Tyreek Hill, KC | DK: $6.6k, FD: $8.2k | vs. BUF

·     Around 26% on both sites

·    That price on DK is so cheap for his upside, however, BUF has been good vs the pass.

·    BUF ranked 2nd allowing 104.2 Rec Yards to WR (Last 9), BUF ranked 3rd allowing 0.6 Rec TDs to WR (Last 9

Devante Adams, GB | DK: $8.5k, FD: $8.7k | vs. SF

·     Likely around 23% on Dk and 26% on FD

·     SF ranked 29th allowing 164.6 Rec Yards to WR (Last 9)

·     SF ranked 25th allowing 1.2 Rec TDs to WR (Last 9)

Cooper Kupp, LAR | DK: $8.6k, FD: $9.5k | vs. TB

·     Around 22% on both sites, however, I think this is low on DK. At 8.6k idk how you don't play him.

· TB ranked 8th allowing 0.6 Rec TDs to WR (Last 9), but they haven't exactly played a murderous row at QB. WAS, NYG, IND, ATL, BUF, NO, CAR, NYJ, CAR, PHI. Something tells me Kupp will be just fine vs that weak TB secondary.

Pivot WR’s

Mike Evans, TB | DK: $6.8k, FD: $8.3k | vs. LAR

·    Around 15% on both sites

· I can't believe the disrespect Mike Evans is getting, no AB or Godwin. He will get TOP END target volume. Ramsey hasn't been shadowing this season so do not worry about him, and LAR safeties are all hurt. He has huge big-play ability and is facing 2nd string safeties and a guy who was just signed off the street.

·   LAR ranked 30th allowing 174.0 Rec Yards to WR (Last 9)

Brandon Aiyuk, SF | DK: $5.2k, FD: $5.9k | vs. GB

·     Around 8%

·    "The Packers have allowed the 3rd most FPPG to left perimeter WRs over the last two months"- Ryan Humpries

·    GB ranked 28th allowing 1.2 Rec TDs to WR (Last 9)

Scotty Miller, TB | DK: $3.3k, FD: $4.9 | vs. LAR

·     2% owned on both sites

·     Brady has trusted Miller in the past

·     Miller was hurt all season but is now healthy and should get an opportunity due to injuries

·     This is a RISKY GPP play. No clue what TB will do for sure but I know Tyler Johnson has been ineffective, Grayson only put in limited practices and Perriman is out. There is a path for Miller, and Brady throws to whoever is open.

TE Chalk

Tyler Higbee, LAR | DK: $4k, FD: $5.4 | vs. TB

·    20% on both sites

·    TB is 19th on the year vs TE, but 9th over the last 4.

·    Averaging 5 receptions and 52.8 yards over the last 4.

·    Limited upside

Pivot TE:

George Kittle, SF | DK: $65.3k, FD: $6.4k | vs. GB

·    10% on both sites

·     Kittle has been a full-time blocker the last few games with the whole team healthy, due to that he is getting overlooked this week. If SF is forced to play catch up they will need his pass-catching and tackle-breaking abilities.

·     GB ranked 25th allowing 0.6 Rec TDs to TE (Last 9)

·     GB ranked 23rd allowing 53.1 Rec Yards to TE (Last 9)

Thank You for reading, and good luck this week!

If you have any questions please hit me up in the LineStar Chat @LineStarTyler.