NFL DFS Chalk Report Written By: LineStar Tyler

WHY THIS MATTERS 👇

Week 18 is here! The regular season will be concluding this weekend and with it, there will be some extra weirdness on the main slate. Make sure to stay tuned to inactives as there could be some surprises.

Bank Roll Note: I will be playing much less volume than I normally would since there is so much uncertainty to players playing time. Most years I have taken this week off totally, but for you guys, I am here and will be playing. I will also be focusing on smaller field GPPs and large field cash games. I do think this is a good cash week for large field cash contests as there will be lots of dead money with lineups who play stars that only play 1-2 offensive series.

Chalk QB 🤦🏻

The 3 highest owned QBs currently:

1. Kyler Murray 12%

2. Josh Allen 12%

3. Matt Stafford 8%

Kyler Murray, ARI | DK: $7.4k, FD: $8.4k | vs. SEA

·     Likely around 12% owned on both sites

·    SEA ranked 29th allowing 274.1 Pass Yards (Last 9)

·    ARI has playoff seeding to play for and potentially could still win the NFC West

Pivot QB

Taysom Hill, NO | DK: $6.2k, FD: $7.7k | vs. ATL

·     6% owned on both sites

·     ATL ranked 23rd allowing 243.7 Pass Yards (Last 9)

·     With his rushing upside, he has a ceiling that can compare with Allen and Murray.

·     ATL has allowed 4 QB rushing TDs and the 3rd most QB rushing yards.

Ben Roethlisberger, PIT | DK: $5.4k, FD: $6.7k | vs. BAL

·    3% owned

·    Big Ben's last game and Ravens secondary have been awful.

·    BAL ranked 30th allowing 2.0 Pass TDs (Last 9)

·    BAL ranked 32nd allowing 284.0 Pass Yards (Last 9)

·    PIT also has a slim chance at the playoffs.

RB Chalk

Jonathan Taylor, IND | DK: $9.3k, FD: $10.2k | vs. JAC

·     Around 21% owned on DK and 24% on FD.

·    Taylor has been an absolute stud all season and is vs the 21st ranked run d in a must-win game.

D'Onta Foreman, TEN | DK: $5.7k, FD: $6.9k | vs. HOU

·     Around 18% on both sites

·     HOU ranked 32nd allowing 1.2 Rush TDs (Last 9)

·     HOU ranked 29th allowing 116.8 Rush Yards (Last 9)

·     TEN is in a must-win game to get the 1st seed.

Sony Michel, LAR | DK: $6k, FD: $7.7 | vs. SF

·     16% on both sites.

·     Michel has had a huge workload since Henderson has been out. However, his workload may drop slightly this week since Cam Akers should be active.

Pivot RB

Antonio Gibson, WAS | DK: $5.8k, FD: $6.8k | vs. NYG

·     Around 5% on both sites

·     With Gibson sitting out the last game I think they will either keep him out OR play him in his regular role. IF Gibson plays I think he is a great target and will get his normal allotment of touches in a great matchup.

Rashaad Penny, SEA | DK: $6.5k, FD: $7.8k | vs. ARI

·    4% on both sites

·    He is averaging 120 yards and 1.25TDs per game over the last 4.

·    This matchup is much tougher than he's had the last 2 weeks but I am riding the hot hand, that is playing for a roster spot next season.

Devonta Freeman, BAL | DK: $5.2k, FD: $5.6 | vs. PIT

·     Around 3% owned on both sites.

·     PIT ranked 32nd allowing 135.4 Rush Yards (Last 9)

·     PIT ranked 28th allowing 1.1 Rush TDs (Last 9)

WR Chalk

Christian Kirk, ARI | DK: $6k, FD: $6.2k | vs. SEA

·     Around 22% on both sites

·    Kirk has taken over as the WR1 on ARI without Hopkins, However, he has not been getting the red zone targets. Those have been going to Ertz and Wesley.

Cooper Kupp, LAR | DK: $9.7k, FD: $10k | vs. SF

·     Likely around 18% on both sites

·     Kupp has a chance to break the single-season receptions and yards records tomorrow. He needs 12 catches for 136 to claim the records.

·    SF ranked 29th allowing 171.2 Rec Yards to WR (Last 9)

AJ Brown, TEN | DK: $7k, FD: $7.4k | vs. HOU

·     Around 16% on both sites

· HOU ranked 28th allowing 167.4 Rec Yards to WR (Last 9)

. You expect the team's best player to show up in must-win games.

Justin Jefferson, MIN | DK: $8.1k, FD: $8.5k | vs. CHI

·     Around 15% on both sites

· CHI ranked 4th allowing 121.0 Rec Yards to WR (Last 9)

·     Jefferson has averaged over 20 fantasy points per game vs CHI in the 3 games he has played against them.

Pivot WR’s

Dionte Johnson, LAR | DK: $7.6k, FD: $7.6k | vs. BAL

·     Around 5% on both sites.

· It's simple BAL is one of the worst secondaries in the league.

·    BAL ranked 32nd allowing 197.7 Rec Yards to WR (Last 9)

·    8 Rec, 105 yards and 2 TDs vs BAL in week 13

Tyler Lockett, SEA | DK: $6.4k, FD: $6.9k | vs. ARI

·     Around 5% on both sites.

·     ARI ranked 32nd allowing 1.7 Rec TDs to WR (Last 9)

·    In Chat DFS_BUCK pointed out that 2 TDs gets him a $1.2 million bonus

Michael Pittman, IND | DK: $5.9k, FD: $6.6 | vs. JAC

·     10% owned on both sites

·     JAX ranked 27th allowing 1.1 Rec TDs to WR (Last 9)

·     Leverage play on Jonathon Taylor lines. If he gets the TDs instead of Taylor you have a big leg up on the field.

TE Chalk

Zach Ertz, ARI | DK: $5.3k, FD: $5.6k | vs. LAR

·    15% on both sites

·    SEA ranked 29th allowing 0.7 Rec TDs to TE (Last 9)

·    He has been a target monster since Hopkins went out, however, yardage totals have been low. Averaging 10 targets a game over the last 4 games.

Pivot TE:

George Kittle, SF | DK: $6.7k, FD: $6.9k | vs. LAR

·    Around 7% owned on both sites

·     Reports are saying that Jimmy G will be back behind center. While I love Trey Lance, Jimmy G is much better for the passing options.

·     Rams are middle of the pack vs the TE but Kittle is a freak and the 49ers will need to lean on him for a chance at the playoffs.

·     Kittles averages 21.45 FPPG (DK) vs LAR

Thank You for reading, and good luck this week!

If you have any questions please hit me up in the LineStar Chat @LineStarTyler.