NFL DFS Chalk Report Written By: LineStar Tyler

WHY THIS MATTERS 👇

Happy Saturday LineStar family!

We have a 12 game slate this week that is pretty interesting. The field is likely paying up for QB as Hurts, Allen, Stafford, and Brady are the highest owned QBs, and paying down at RB this week. If we pay up at RB we should be getting quite a bit different from a majority of the field.

Let's Dive in...

Chalk QB 🤦🏻

The highest 3 QB's currently look like:

1. Jalen Hurts 13%

2. Josh Allen 12%

3. Matthew Stafford 12%

Jalen Hurts, PHI | DK: $7.2k, FD: $8.4k | vs. DET

· Likely around 13-14% owned on both sites

· Highest owned QB, but 7th lowest odds to be the highest-scoring team on Sunday

· Only 25.8 implied team total.

· DET has been one of the worst run defenses but is mediocre vs the pass giving up on average 21.5 DK points and 20.5 FD points.

Pivot QB

Carson Wentz, IND | DK: $5.7k, FD: $7.2k | vs. TEN

· Around 6% owned on both sites

· IND has the 3rd lowest odds on the slate to be the highest scoring team on Sunday.

· TEN is top 10 in giving up QB fantasy points, while they are bottom 10 in allowing RB points.

· This game has the highest total on the slate

Sam Darnold, CAR | DK: $5.6k, FD: $7.3k | vs. ATL

· ATL is allowing the 4th most points to opposing QB's

· CAR has great stacking options with Moore or Anderson (Anderson has been targeted fairly heavily the last few games 11,7,11,9)

· Coming in around 2% on both sites.

· This game could be a sneaky shoot out

We are getting a little weird at QB this week, outside of a Josh Allen 40 point game(which is totally possible in this matchup) I would be a little surprised if one of the other high-owned guys really broke the slate.

RB Chalk

Kenneth Gainwell, PHI | DK: $5k, FD: $5.9k | vs. DET

· Around 18-20% owned on both sites

· Det is giving up the 2nd most points to the RB position

· However, he may not get much of an uptick in touches, Miles Sanders has only averaged 11.7 touches per game. While Gainwell has been averaging 6.4. With a capable 3rd string in Boston Scott, there is a decent chance Gainwell only gets 5 more touches than normal.

Darrel Henderson, LAR | DK: $6.5k, FD: $7.7k | vs. HOU

· Around 15-18% owned on both sites

· The Rams are tied with the highest team implied total, and Houston is giving up the 6th most fantasy points to running backs

Cordarrell Patterson, ATL | DK: $6.2k, FD: $7.3k | vs. CAR

· Around 15-17% on both sites

· CAR D has allowed the least amount of points to the RB position.

· Last week the Falcons seemed to finally feature Patterson. He has 73% of the snaps which is 14% higher than any other game this year.

Other RB Notes:

James Robinson is 19% on DK and 10% on FD

Joe Mixon is 9% on DK and 17% on FD

Pivot RB

Nick Chubb, CLE | DK: $6.8k, FD: $8k | @ PIT

· Around 3-5% owned on both sites.

· No Hunt, hopefully, means extra Chubb.

· Chubb has the 3rd most yards per rush in the league, behind Lamar Jackson and Tony Pollard.

· Over PITs last 4 they have given up 114.5 rushing yards per game plus another 49 receiving yards/g.

Alvin Kamara, NO | DK: $8.7k, FD: $8.4k | @ TB

· Around 7% on DK, and 13% on FD

· TB D is great against the run, however, they have allowed the 7th most receiving yards to the RB position.

· Coming off the bye last game Kamara was targeted 11 times

· 2nd highest game total on the week, and an afternoon hammer with lower ownership

Myles Gaskin, MIA | DK: $5.6k, FD: $5.7k | @BUF

· 3% owned on both sites

· Malcolm Brown is on IR, opening up more opportunities for Gaskin

· In a blowout game script, it actually makes him have more value as he is an excellent pass catcher.

· Warning: Miami only has a 17 point implied total and BUF D has been excellent. This is a punt play that could work out IF they give Gaskin a large majority of the work since Brown is out.

WR Chalk

Cooper Kupp, LAR | DK: $9k, FD: $9.2k | vs. HOU

· Likely around 18-20% owned on both sites

· Highest team total on the slate

· Kupp is Stafford's favorite option in a game where Stafford SHOULD be able to do whatever he wants.

· Hou is giving up the 6th least amount of fantasy points to the WR.

Chris Godwin, TB | DK: $6.4k, FD: $7.2k | vs. NO

· Likely around 18-20% owned on both sites

· Without AB, targets will still be consolidated, and Lattimore should be on Evans giving Godwin the better matchup.

· 2nd highest game total on the slate

Ja'Marr Chase, CIN | DK: $7.5k, FD: $8.2k | vs. NYJ

Tee Higgins, CIN | DK: $5.2k, FD: $6.3k | vs. NYJ

· Both guys are around 14-15% on both sites

· NYJ are giving up the 3rd least amount of points to the WR position, and the most points to the RB position.

Other WR ownership Notes:

Michael Pittman: 15% owned on DK and 13% on FD

Stefon Diggs: 10% owned on DK and 16% on FD

Pivot WR’s

DJ Moore, Car | DK: $7.2k, FD: $7.7k | vs. ATL

· CMC is still out and no Terrance Marshall.

· #1 option vs an awful pass D

· Around 7% owned

Robby Anderson, Car | DK: $4.7k, FD: $5.7k | vs. ATL

· With CMC and Marshall out, Anderson has 38 targets over the last 4 weeks

· #1 option vs an awful pass D

· If you need to save some salary you can go Anderson instead of Moore

· Around 4% owned

Courtland Sutton, DEN | DK: $6.4k, FD: $7.1k | vs. WAS

· Around 6-7% owned

· Was D is giving up the second-most fantasy points to WRs in the league

· He has massive upside when he is on.

Emmanuel Sanders, BUF | DK: $5.4k, FD: $7.3k | vs. MIA

· BUF SHOULD be able to score at will and they rarely take the foot off the gas.

· Going Sanders instead of Diggs will get you a bit different while saving some $ and give you exposure to BUF offense.

· Around 8% owned

TE Chalk

Dallas Goedert PHI | DK: $4.7k, FD: $5.9k | vs. DET

· Around 11% on both sites

· Without Ertz, he's THE option for PHI and almost guaranteed at least 5 targets

. DET has been decent vs the TE

Pivot TE:

I may sound like a broken record but I am going back to Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts, ATL | DK: $6.3k, FD: $6.8k | vs. CAR

· 6% Owned on both sites

· No other TE on this slate has his upside

· I think this game is going under-owned and want pieces in it.

Tyler Higbee, LAR | DK: $4.5k, FD: $5.3k | vs. HOU

· 5% Owned on both sites

· In case you don't have the $ left for Pitts, I think you can go down to Higbee.

· Hou is giving up the 4th most points to TE

Thank You for reading, and good luck this week!

If you have any questions please hit me up in the LineStar Chat @LineStarTyler.