NFL DFS Chalk Report Written By: LineStar Tyler

WHY THIS MATTERS 👇

Happy Saturday LineStar family!

We have an 11 game slate this week, and we may need to make some judgment calls on inactive players in the afternoon games. There is a chance that Kyler Murray and Deandre Hopkins are out. If one or both of them are out the slate drastically changes. As of writing today's article both are still questionable to play. However, I am going off of information from profootballdoc.com and have Deandre Hopkins out and Kyler Murray playing. It may be a good idea to leave some wiggle room in your lineups for late swapping tomorrow.

Enough with the intro let's get into the good of week 9.

Disclaimer: There is a ton of different injury news that can and will change ownership drastically this week. The question marks of CMC, Kyler Murray, and D-Hop will all have significant impacts.

Chalk QB 🤦🏻

The highest 3 QB's currently look like:

1. Lamar Jackson 17%

2. Josh Allen 15%

3. Patrick Mahomes 9%

Lamar Jackson, BAL | DK: $7.3k, FD: $8.3k | vs. MIN

·     Likely around 17-18% owned on both sites

·    Highest owned QB, but 3rd lowest odds to be the highest-scoring team on Sunday's main slate

·   Only 27.8 implied team total.

·    Lamar is absolutely underpriced on Draftkings, however, MIN has been tough vs QB giving up the 9th fewest QB points in the league and has only allowed 100 rushing yards to the QB on the season. QBs vs MIN average 18.6 DK FP and 17.3 FD FP.

Pivot QB

Dak Prescott, DAL | DK: $6.9k, FD: $7.9k | vs. DEN

·     Around 7% owned on both sites

·     DAL has the second-highest implied total

·     Leverage on Elliot owners

·     Cooper, Lamb, and Schultz are in great spots and great stacking options.

Joe Burrow, Cin | DK: $6.8k, FD: $7.6k | vs. CLE

·     CLE is allowing the 9th most points to opposing QB's

·     CIN has great stacking options with Chase, Higgins, Boyd or a punt TE in C.J. Uzomah

·     Coming in around 5% on both sites.

·     This game could be a sneaky shoot out

RB Chalk

Ezekiel Elliot, DAL | DK: $7k, FD: $8.2k | vs. DEN

·     Around 25% on both sites

·     DEN has been middle of the pack vs the run, but they just lost Von Miller which will likely make them worse vs the run.

·    Over the last 4 games DEN is giving up 124 yards and 1 TD per game to the RB, along with 5.8 rec and 59.5 yards rec per game.

Austin Ekeler, LAR | DK: $7.9k, FD: $9k | vs. PHI

·     Around 21-22% owned on both sites

·     PHI over the last 4 games is giving up 160 combined yards, 9 receptions, and 1.3 TDs per game

·     LAC has a team total of 26.

Myles Gaskin, MIA | DK: $5.8k, FD: $6.1k | vs. HOU

·     Around 16% on DK and 20% on FD

·     HOU D has allowed the 4th most amount of points to the RB position.

·     This is a committee backfield, while MIA should get plenty of points on Sunday Salvon Ahmed will also get his fair share of touches, especially if MIA has a big lead.

·     Gaskin has been playing about 60% of the snaps

Pivot RB

Nick Chubb, CLE | DK: $6.7k, FD: $7.6k | @ CIN

·    Around 5% on DK and 10% on FD

·     D'Ernest Johnson pretty much took the Hunt roll last week BUT only had 4 carries.

·     Chubb has the 3rd most yards per rush in the league, behind Lamar Jackson and Tony Pollard.

·    CIN is allowing the 6th most fantasy points to the position

Josh Jacobs, LV | DK: $6.2k, FD: $7.2k | @ NYG

·    Around 6% on both sites

·     NYG is giving up the 8th most points to the RB position

·    Since week 4 Jacobs has been involved in the passing game giving him a great floor. He hasn't had a ceiling game this season but we know he has been capable of 25+ points in years prior.

·    25 point team implied total, and the Giants are giving up on average 27 DK FP and 23.3 FD FP per game.

WR Chalk

Tyreek Hill, KC | DK: $7.9k, FD: $8.5k | vs. GB

·     Around 22% owned on both sites

·     3rd highest team total on the slate

·     Hill has been peppered with targets, averaging 13/g over the last 4 games

·     GB is only allowing 174 yards per game to WRs, and the 6th least amount of fantasy points to the position

Amari Cooper, DAL | DK: $5.7k, FD: $6.9k | vs. DEN

·     Likely around 15-18% owned on both sites

·     Cooper is absolutely underpriced, although he is a boom-bust WR.

·     Second-highest implied team total at 29.5

Stefon Diggs, BUF | DK: $7.7k, FD: $7.6k | vs. JAC

·     Around 13% on DK and 21% on FD

· Highest team total on the slate at 31.5

·     JAC is giving up the 8th most fantasy points to WR

Pivot WR’s

Brandin Cooks, HOU | DK: $6.1k, FD: $6.8k | vs. MIA

·    6% owned on both sites

·     "With Taylor playing about a game and a half before getting injured at the start of the year, Cooks saw 21 total targets, a 36% TGT%, and 56% of Houston’s total air yards in that span resulting in 14 receptions for 201 yards and a TD"- Ryan Humphries

·     MIA is giving up the 2nd MOST fantasy points to WR plus HOU gets its starting QB back.

Marquise Brown, BAL | DK: $6k, FD: $7.7k | vs. MIN

·    Around 10% on both sites

·     MIN is giving up the 7th most fantasy points to WRs.

·     With this being the highest totaled game on the slate and Brown being underpriced on DK, I think he's a no-brainer. Andrews is also underpriced and under-owned (8% on both sites)

Rondale Moore, ARI | DK: $4.2k, FD: $5.3k | vs. SF

·     Around 1-3% owned

·     Even if Hopkins plays I think he is under-owned, but if Hopkins is out he becomes one of the best plays on the slate. Aj Green is already out, and Hopkins is Questionable

·    Kyler Murray is questionable BUT Colt Mccoy is a serviceable backup, and SF secondary does not scare me.

Jaylen Waddle, MIA | DK: $5.6k, FD: $6.1 | vs. HOU

·      9% owned on DK at 13% on FD

·     Hou D can't stop anyone, and Parker is out this week. He is the guy

·     If you want to save salary Mack Hollins or Preston Williams could be a value play. One of them will slide into the WR2 role when it's not Mike Gesicki.

TE Chalk

Darren Waller LV | DK: $6.2k, FD: $6.8k | vs. NYG

·     Around 17% on both sites

·     LV is down their number 1 WR, but 5.1/targets per game, and most were deep shots. Waller may pick up a little volume from the loss but I do not think it will be very significant

. NYG is giving up 12.5 DK FP and 9.7 FD FP per game.

Pivot TE:

Dallas Goedert, PHI | DK: $4.5k, FD: $6.2k | vs. LAC

·    10% Owned on DK and around 7% on FD

·     LAC is giving up the 2nd MOST fantasy points to the TE position

·     Without Ertz, he is one of the main offensive focal points

Albert Okwuegbunam, DEN | DK: $2.6k, FD: $4.5k | vs. DAL

·     I'm seeing ownership projections 8-10% Owned on both sites

·     He is a good player and likely steps into Fants roll, you can expect similar production as Fant as close to site minimum prices

·    On the year DAL is giving up 62 yards, 5 rec, and .6TD per game to the TE

Thank You for reading, and good luck this week!

If you have any questions please hit me up in the LineStar Chat @LineStarTyler.