NFL DFS Chalk Report Written By: LineStar Tyler

Tyler's Tidbits 👇

Happy wildcard weekend! We had some fun football to watch today(Saturday) and I am looking forward to more of the same on Sunday with this 3 game slate.

On these smaller slates, we need to remember what is considered chalky is a much higher percentage than normal. On a regular Sunday 25-30% is pretty chalky, while this weekend 50+% is the chalk. Also remember on the pivot side a 10% owned guy on these small slates is like a 1% owned guy on a normal NFL Sunday. These small slates, also play more like single-game contests. TDs are king and do not be scared to play a double TE lineup or to have a player or two vs your defense.

With that being said, let's dive in!

Chalk QB 🤦🏻

Highest owned QBs currently:

1. Patrick Mahomes 35+% owned

2. Dak Prescott 25%

Patrick Mahomes, KC | DK: $7.3k, FD: $8.7k | vs. PIT

· Likely around 40+% owned on both sites

· PIT has been getting destroyed on the ground but has been decent through the air.

· PIT ranked 9th allowing 1.3 Pass TD

· PIT ranked 8th allowing 210.1 Pass Yards (Last 9)

Pivot QB

Jalen Hurts, PHI | DK: $6.1k, FD: $7.7k | vs. TB

· Likely around 15% owned.

· TB ranked 32nd allowing 39.6 Pass Attempts (Last 9)

· TB allowed the 4th most rushing yards to the QB in 2021

· If you get away from Mahomes, Prescott, or Brady. I think Hurts is the only other option. He has a ceiling as high as those QBs but is much cheaper.

RB Chalk

Darrell Williams, KC | DK: $5.2k, FD: $6.6k | vs. PIT

· 40+% owned on both sites

· No CEH and PIT have been getting destroyed on the ground. HOWEVER, Williams has been very average on the ground all season. I would not expect him to have a huge rushing yardage game but he could easily get a couple of TDs.

Ke'Shawn Vaughn, TB | DK: $4.5k, FD: $5.4k | vs. PHI

· Around 40% on both sites

· Only had 12 touches last week in CAR

· PHI ranked 9th allowing 80.3 Rush Yards (Last 9)

Pivot RB

Eli Mitchell, SF | DK: $5.7k, FD: $7.4k | vs. DAL

· Around 20% on both sites

· Cowboys are allowing 95.8 yards rushing and 31 receiving to the RB over the last 4 weeks.

· One of the only RBs on the slate we know will get 20+ touches.

Derrick Gore, KC | DK: $4k, FD: $5.4k | vs. PIT

· 5% on both sites

· If this game turns into a blow out it's likely we see Gore leading the KC rushing game, as he is a better running RB than Darrel Williams.

· PIT ranked 31st allowing 1.2 Rush TDs (Last 9)

Gio Bernard, TB | DK: $4k, FD: $4.7 | vs. PHI

· Around 5% owned on both sites.

· Without so many pass catchers, Tom Brady may need to lean on Gio a little to move the chains like he did James White in NE.

· PHI is giving up 7 receptions and 38.8 yards to pass-catching RBs over the last 4 weeks.

· Leverage on Ke'Shawn Vaughn lines

WR Chalk

Deebo Samuel, SF | DK: $7.9k, FD: $8.7k | vs. DAL

· Around 40% on both sites

· Over the last 4 games the Cowboys are ranked 10th vs the WR

· DAL ranked 9th allowing 0.8 Rec TDs to WR (Last 9)

Tyreek Hill, KC | DK: $7.3k, FD: $8k | vs. PIT

· Likely around 40% on both sites

· Hill has been nursing the last few weeks but is finally off the injury report and is at his cheapest price of the season.

· PIT ranked 8th allowing 130.6 Rec Yards to WR (Last 9)

Ceedee Lamb, DAL | DK: $6.3k, FD: $7.3k | vs. SF

· Around 30% on both sites

· SF ranked 25th allowing 1.1 Rec TDs to WR (Last 9)

· SF ranked 29th allowing 170.0 Rec Yards to WR (Last 9)

Pivot WR’s

Diontae Johnson, PIT | DK: $6.7k, FD: $7.2k | vs. KC

· Around 20-25% on both sites

· Dionte is a target hog and PIT will have to be throwing.

· KC ranked 27th allowing 1.2 Rec TDs to WR (Last 9)

· KC ranked 28th allowing 167.8 Rec Yards to WR (Last 9)

Breshad Perriman, TB | DK: $4.6k, FD: $5.2k | vs. PHI

· Around 10%

· Without AB and Godwin, Brady will need playmakers and Perriman has done it for Brady a few times this season.

· With Darius Slay likely on Evans, Brady will need to get over WRs involved. Evans was held to 2 receptions for 27 yards in week 6.

Brandon Aiyuk, SF | DK: $5.2k, FD: $6.1 | vs. DAL

· 15-20% owned on both sites

· Leverage on Deebo owners and highest totaled game.

TE Chalk

Rob Gronkowski, TB | DK: $6.4k, FD: $7.4 | vs. PHI

· 40% on both sites

· PHI ranked 31st allowing 0.9 Rec TDs to TE (Last 9)

· PHI ranked 26th allowing 62.7 Rec Yards to TE (Last 9)

· Extra targets without Godwin and AB.

Pivot TE:

Travis Kelce, KC | DK: $6.7k, FD: $7.5k | vs. PIT

· 30% on DK and 35% on FD, he isn't much of a pivot but I am having a hard time getting away from either Gronk or Kelce.

· Kittle is only averaging 4.5 targets a game with everyone healthy, Schultz has a tough matchup, Friermuth doesn't have the ceiling to compete with top-end TEs. Goedert is facing TB who has been number 1 vs TEs over the last 4 weeks.

Thank You for reading, and good luck this week!

If you have any questions please hit me up in the LineStar Chat @LineStarTyler.