The jam-packed NFL weekend continues with a 10-game Sunday main slate! Let’s dig into some recommended DFS plays and props to consider for this slate!

By: @Ryan_Humphries

Week 15 NFL PreSnap Podcast 🎙️

Catch Tyler Wiemann and Shannon Sommerville's run down on this Sunday's NFL DFS main slate!

Also, for anyone looking to roll out some NFL props this week, be sure to check out the info and videos at the end of this article featuring usage of LineStar's new Prop Edge+ for NFL tool. This tool can help make prop bettors some extra cash -- especially on sites like PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

A free two-pick PrizePicks "Power Play" is posted at the end of this article as well!

Week 15 DFS Main Slate Rundown 📝

After a thrilling Saturday triple-header, we’ll have our usual main course of NFL action on Sunday with a 10-game slate on tap! This should be a fun one so let’s lock in and get set to boost the ole bankroll!

Main slate match-ups with implied point totals and spreads:

Weather Report

As a reminder, weather plays less of a factor in football than it does in other sports but it is still worth making note of any games that could experience wet conditions, high winds, and/or frigid, snowy conditions.

The forecasts can always change so, as always, run a final weather check closer to kickoff!

PHI @ CHI (1:00 ET, 48.5 O/U): Frigid temps in the 20s with 10-15 mph winds. Not a major downgrade to offenses, but worth noting.

Quarterbacks to Consider

Potential quarterback targets at high/mid/low price points.

Jalen Hurts, PHI | DK: $8.2k, FD: $9k | @ CHI

There are a ton of lackluster QB options on this slate so it’s perhaps not a bad time to shell out the cash for the current NFL MVP favorite, Jalen Hurts. He’s been fantastic all season but has taken it to the next level recently. Hurts has scored at least 30.38 DKFP in each of his last three games while averaging 82 rushing YPG in that stretch. He’ll face a Bears defense that ranks 31st in pass DVOA and recently gave up a 315-yard, three-touchdown game to Mike White. The Eagles head into Chicago with a 28.8 implied team total, the second-highest on the slate. Hurts can be viewed as a premium floor option and he’s always going to have a big ceiling, thanks to his rushing prowess.

Justin Herbert, LAC | DK: $7.2k, FD: $8.3k | vs. TEN

Ya can’t help but love Herbert on this slate. He’s commanding the NFL’s most pass-heavy offense and draws a dream match-up against a Titans defense that is the epitome of a pass funnel defense. Over 77% of yards gained against the Titans have come through the air, which is the highest mark in the NFL. Tennessee’s defense is also riddled with injuries (see SIC Score/Field View below), primarily to their secondary and linebacker corps. Herbert has also played with a depleted receiving corps for much of the season but those concerns are in the rear-view as Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Joshua Palmer, Gerald Everett, and pass-catching RB specialist Austin Ekeler are all healthy heading into this game.

Desmond Ridder, ATL | DK: $5.2k, FD: $6.5k | @ NO

It’s a complete minefield in the lower tier of QB pricing this week so, this probably goes without saying, but tread with caution. With that said, we have seen some rookie QB magic this season so perhaps Desmond Ridder can make something happen in his first career NFL start. The 5-8 Falcons are surprisingly just one game out of the NFC South division lead and they’ve decided to make the switch from Marcus Mariota to Ridder after losing four of their last five games. Ridder performed reasonably well in three preseason games, completing 34-of-56 attempts (60.7% comp%) for 431 yards (7.7 YPA), three touchdowns, and two interceptions while rushing eight times for 58 yards. He’s also had two weeks to prepare as the starter for this game with Atlanta coming out of their week 14 bye. The Falcons may roll out a fairly conservative game plan in Ridder’s first start (which also comes on the road), but if they do decide to let him rip it a bit, he may end up as a strong GPP value play. But, again, tread with caution here.

Running Backs to Consider

Potential running back targets at high/mid/low price points.

Derrick Henry, TEN | DK: $8k, FD: $8.9k | @ LAC

Even though Henry ended up getting clamped down by the Jags D in the second half of last week’s game, he still came away with an overall solid bounce-back performance following a pair of down games. He ended the day with 117 yards rushing with a touchdown and caught 3-of-5 targets for 34 yards. King Henry now draws a juicy match-up with a lackluster Chargers run defense (25th in rush DVOA) that has surrendered the 5th most FPPG and 5.5 YPC to RBs this season. Henry will be my touchdown call of the week.

Alvin Kamara, NO | DK: $6.8k, FD: $7.6k | vs. ATL

Risky? No doubt. Outside of his huge week eight game where he exploded for three touchdowns against the Raiders, Kamara has not found the endzone in any other game this season. His usage has also been extremely frustrating at times. However, he does draw a solid match-up against the Falcons who rank 28th in rush DVOA. He’s also at home in the Superdome where he has averaged 137.6% more FPPG in five home games this season. Teams facing the Falcons have given their RBs 30.3 carries/gm over the last four games, and it’s worked out well, so hopefully, the Saints can follow suit and feed Kamara touches all day.

Ezekiel Elliott, DAL | DK: $6.2k, FD: $7.5k | @ JAX

It’s hard to ever rely heavily on touchdowns in NFL DFS but Zeke has been an exception to the rule and has punched in at least one touchdown in six consecutive games. The Cowboys now run with essentially a 50/50 backfield split with Zeke and Tony Pollard handling pretty even snaps Pollard is awesome in his own right but Elliott does carry a safer touch volume and is a bit cheaper than Pollard on both sites. The five targets for Zeke last week were also encouraging, though may be a bit of an outlier. Regardless, the Jags are a middle-of-the-road run defense, and the Cowboys head in as four-point road favorites. Dallas has rushed 24% more when favored (last nine games).

Isiah Pacheco, KC | DK: $5.9k, FD: $7.6k | @ HOU

RBs against the Texans (2nd most FPPG allowed to RBs) -- it doesn’t work out every week, but it does work out most weeks. So that will land Pacheco in the DFS cross-hairs this Sunday. The Chiefs have been getting involved in some close, high-scoring games recently which has led to more usage out of preferred pass-catching back Jerick McKinnon. However, Kansas City steps in as massive 14.5-point road favorites in this game so, presumably, they should be able to handle the Texans with relative ease. That may lead to increased volume for Pacheco, similar to week 12 when the Chiefs beat the Rams 26-10 and Pacheco carried the ball 22 times.

Rex Burkhead, HOU | DK: $4.6k, FD: $4.8k | vs. KC

The Texans are bad, yes. But there is volume to be had with so many injuries to consider. Houston has already played without their top two WRs and now they’ve placed impressive rookie RB Dameon Pierce on IR, which will end his season. It’s either going to be Rex Burkhead or Dare Ogunbowale (DK: $4.7k, FD: $5k) as the next man up out of the Houston backfield -- but probably around a 50/50 split between the two. Consider both guys to be highly contrarian GPP fliers for this slate.

Wide Receivers to Consider

Potential wide receiver targets at high/mid/low price points.

CeeDee Lamb, DAL | DK: $7.3k, FD: $8.1k | @ JAX

This slate doesn’t feel like one where you have to force in one of the most expensive WRs so we’ll begin here with CeeDee Lamb. He has averaged 9.0 TGT/Gm with a stout 29.0% TGT% this season. Lamb also runs 60% of his routes out of the slot, which bodes well against the Jaguars who have allowed the 2nd most FPPG to slot WRs over the last eight weeks. Somewhat surprisingly, Lamb is also averaging +46.7% more FPPG outdoors this year.

DeVonta Smith, PHI | DK: $6.4k, FD: $7.2k | @ CHI

There was some buzz earlier in the week surrounding the potential return of TE Dallas Goedert (shoulder) from the IR. The Eagles chose not to activate him so it’ll be at least one more week until Goedert is back in the mix. Since Goedert got hurt in week 10, DeVonta Smith has commanded at least eight targets in every game. In this recent five-game span, Smith leads the team with a 29.6% TGT% and 36.0% AirYard%. He can be considered a safe mid-range WR option and a solid addition to any potential Jalen Hurts stacks.

Mike Williams, LAC | DK: $6.3k, FD: $7.2k | vs. TEN

As mentioned in the Justin Herbert spotlight above, this is simply a dream match-up for any competent passing attack. As you might expect, the Titans have allowed the most FPPG to WRs this season. They’ve been most vulnerable on the boundaries (most FPPG allowed to perimeter WRs), which is where Williams runs 83% of his routes. Williams is the big-play receiving threat in this offense and he’s poised for a great day in week 15.

Drake London, ATL | DK: $4.7k, FD: $6.3k | @ NO

Might we see a rookie-to-rookie connection blossom this week? London obviously has all the talent in the world, which is why he was the first WR off the board in the 2022 NFL Draft. Unfortunately, he’s stuck on a Falcons team that has averaged the second-fewest pass attempts per game (ATL: 23.1 pass att/gm). London’s outlook does look brighter with Desmond Ridder taking the reigns as the Falcons QB. I find it hard to believe that Ridder could be a worse passer than Marcus Mariota and there is very little competition for targets in this Falcons offense. It wouldn’t be a major stretch to project London for 10+ targets this Sunday. London will get a match-up boost if top Saints CB Marshon Lattimore (abdomen/questionable) is forced to miss another game.

Chris Moore, HOU | DK: $4.2k, FD: $6k | vs. KC

Moore worked out extremely well for us last week when he caught 10-of-11 targets for 124 yards. Those 11 targets represented a monster 40.7% TGT%, which ranked second among all week 14 NFL receivers. With Brandin Cooks and Nico Collins out for another game, Moore should be in line for another heavy dosage of targets in a game that the Texans will almost certainly be playing from behind. It’s tough to trust his awful QB play, but any player who is this cheap with double-digit target potential should be considered. The Chiefs’ secondary has also been shredded throughout the year, allowing the 3rd most FPPG to WRs.

Tight Ends to Consider

Tight end targets at high/mid/low price points.

Dalton Schultz, DAL | DK: $4.4k, FD: $6.5k | @ JAX

Schultz had a very productive week 14 where he commanded 10 targets and racked up 87 yards, both season highs. He’ll draw an enticing match-up against the Jaguars. Over the last four games, no other team is allowing more FPPG to TEs than Jacksonville. In that stretch, TEs are averaging 7.8 rec/gm, 93.8 YPG, and 1.0 TDs/Gm. If you’re not looking to pay the Travis Kelce premium, Schultz sets up as a great secondary option.

Evan Engram, JAX | DK: $3.8k, FD: $5.5k | vs. DAL

We’ll go from highlighting Schultz to the other side of the field and give Evan Engram a look. It’s a rough match-up (DAL: 3rd fewest FPPG to TEs) but Engram showed what sort of upside he can bring to the table following a career game in week 14. Engram was an absolute nightmare for the Titans' defense to deal with while bringing in 11-of-15 targets for 162 yards and two TDs. Some major regression is coming, and this does feel a bit like we’re chasing points, but Engram should still be a fairly low-owned option to consider in GPPs.

Chig Okonkwo, TEN | DK: $3.1k, FD: $5.1k | @ LAC

The Okonkwo gamble paid off well last week. He caught all six of his targets for 45 yards and a score while playing right around half of the snaps. It’d be great if he pushed for more of an 80% snap share but with Austin Hooper healthy, that doesn’t seem likely. Still, he’s proven himself to be a big-time playmaker in an offense that is starved for viable pass-catchers. He’ll draw a quality match-up against the Chargers, who have given up the 8th most FPPG to TEs over their last four games.

Defenses to Consider

D/ST is a very volatile “position” and shouldn’t take up too much time in your DFS research. However, here are some D/STs I’m on board with this week.

Pay-Up D/ST: Kansas City Chiefs | DK: $4k, FD: $5k | @ HOU

DraftKings Value: New England Patriots | DK: $2.8k, FD: $4.7k | @ LV

Value D/ST: Denver Broncos | DK: $2.7k, FD: $3.7k | vs. ARI

Stacks & Bring Backs 🥞

Below are a few team/game stack ideas to consider for this slate. In some examples, I will include a “bring back” option which will feature a normal "QB + Receiver" stack along with a player from the opposing team in the same game that could also benefit should the primary "QB + Receiver" stack go off.

QB + WR/TE + Opp Receiver (Game Stack)

Jalen Hurts, DeVonta Smith, Cole Kmet

QB + WR/TE + Opp Receiver (Game Stack)

Patrick Mahomes, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Chris Moore

QB + Two Pass Catchers (Double Stack)

Justin Herbert, Keenan Allen, Mike Williams

QB + Two Pass Catchers (Double Stack)

Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, Dalton Schultz

Full Team Stack - QB/WR/RB

Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, Ezekiel Elliot

Value Team Stack

Zach Wilson, Garrett Wilson, Zonovan Knight

“Ugly Duckling Game Stack” | QB + WR + Opp WR

Desmond Ridder, Drake London, Chris Olave

Touchdown Call 🏈

Derrick Henry, TEN | DK: $8k, FD: $8.9k | @ LAC

Reminder: Follow @LineStarApp on Twitter and retweet the weekly Touchdown Calls tweet! Three retweeters are randomly selected and assigned a player from the TD calls between myself, @FlatTyler83, and @ShannonOnSports. If your player scores a touchdown, you’ll win your choice of cash (via PayPal) or a one-month subscription to LineStar!

PrizePicks Sunday NFL Power Play ⚡

This is a two-pick NFL "Power Play" I have over on PrizePicks. Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but these props did stand out so I'll be rolling it out with confidence! If it hits, it will return a 3x payout!

DeVonta Smith MORE than 4.0 Receptions

Isiah Pacheco MORE than 68.5 Rush Yards

The over on this discounted Justin Herbert prop on PrizePicks is also a strong pick to hit as well.

INSIDER INJURY KNOWLEDGE FROM PRO SPORTS TEAM DOCTORS TO GIVE YOU A WINNING EDGE!

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In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props Edge+ for NFL – available for LineStar Premium users! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

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Once again, if you have any questions DM me on Twitter or hit me up in LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries. Good luck this week!

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