Written by Ryan Humphries - @NitroDFS | LineStar Chat @N1TRO

Be sure to check out all the LineStar NFL content:

🏈 NFL Season Preview & Strategy Guide

📺 Week 11 NFL Primetime Preview

📰 NFL Takeaways from Week 10 by Greg Landry

🔊  PreSnap Podcast every Monday, Thursday & Friday!

👇 Subscribe wherever you listen to podcasts! 👇

iTunes | Google Podcasts | Spotify | iHeartRADIO | Stitcher | YouTube

We’ll have 11 games on the menu for this week’s main slate, which features five divisional showdowns. The Packers, Giants, Seahawks, and Titans make up the teams on their bye weeks. This could be a fairly high scoring week, as six of these games carry totals which equal or exceed 45 points. A couple of contests that could have a major impact on the DFS landscape are the two NFC South match-ups. The Saints at Buccaneers (50 O/U) and Falcons at Panthers (49.5 O/U) are two games that you’ll probably want some solid exposure to. You won’t be too surprised to find plenty of players featured in those games mentioned below. There are, of course, several other intriguing battles looming on the week, including a match-up with a couple of top 10 offenses with Houston traveling to Baltimore. We also have a Super Bowl LII rematch in The City of Brotherly Love as the Patriots head down to face off with the Eagles. Should be a fun week! In case you haven’t already, don’t forget to check out our other LineStar NFL content which you can find linked at the top of this article!

Week 11 match-ups with implied totals and moneylines:

Games to Target

New Orleans Saints (-5.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 50 O/U

NO: 27.8 implied points | TB: 22.3 implied points

NO Off. Pace Rank: 29th | TB Off. Pace Rank: 8th

NO PPG For/Against: 22.7/20.2 | TB PPG For/Against: 28.9/31.0

As I alluded to in the intro, the NFC South has two high total tilts this week and this Saints/Bucs game may be one of the more interesting Sunday match-ups we’ll see. When building around players here, you’re likely going to want to focus on the passing game. These two teams rank inside the top five in the league in run defense, so it could be some tough sledding on the ground. But there are some stellar receivers on both sides of the ball with very fantasy friendly quarterbacks throwing their way, so you probably won’t have many reservations about loading up on those guys. The Saints have played at one of the slowest paces in the league, but this is a sizable pace up spot for them as Tampa Bay’s 8th ranked offensive tempo could force New Orleans to play a bit faster. Barring a midweek practice injury, every notable offensive player is also healthy for this one. Load ‘em up!

Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens (-4) | 50 O/U

HOU: 23.0 implied points | BAL: 27.0 implied points

HOU Off. Pace Rank: 19th | BAL Off. Pace Rank: 32nd

HOU PPG For/Against: 26.4/21.2 | BAL PPG For/Against: 33.3/21.0

No one is shocked by the fact that I’m high on this game as well. I believe the Deshaun Watson-led Texans are probably one of the few teams in the NFL that match-up really well against the ultra dynamic Ravens. The tempo may not be electric in this game, as Baltimore runs on 53.1% of plays (2nd most in NFL) and Houston runs on 44.1% of plays (8th most). But when these two quarterbacks do pass, both are completing over 65% of their passes, so efficiency won’t be much of an issue. On the injury front, both teams have an ailing receiver carrying a “questionable” designation. Marquise Brown (ankle) and Will Fuller V (hamstring) have yet to get in a full practice this week, so be sure to check on their status leading up to the 1:00 pm ET kickoff.

Quarterbacks to Target

Drew Brees | DK: $6.9k, FD: $8.3k | @ TB

The Saints just got trounced at home by the Atlanta Falcons, so I feel like there may be a chip on their shoulder heading into this Sunday. When paying up at quarterback this week, I feel like most people will gravitate to either Lamar Jackson or Deshaun Watson. Those guys are the ‘safer’ plays for sure, but Brees makes for an excellent GPP target. He’s on the road, which isn’t normally where I’d look to target Brees, but this Bucs pass defense is just so, so bad. They give up the second most FPPG to QBs despite allowing just a 63.9% completion rank, which ranks decently at 16th in the NFL. Brees obviously only has three complete games played this year, but he leads the NFL with a 74.3% completion rate. It’s not some fluke either, considering he’s the NFL’s all time leader in completion percentage. The Bucs have been notoriously difficult to run on this season with the best run defense in the league (77.8 rushing YPG). But why run when passing against them is so lucrative?

Josh Allen | DK: $6.6k, FD: $7.8k | @ MIA

Allen hasn’t shown an incredibly high ceiling this season, but given his rushing ability, we know that 30+ FP upside is there. The Dolphins allow the 9th most FPPG to QBs and the fact that they’re actually playing decently well on offense (two game win streak!) gives me some hope that the Bills may be forced to stay relatively aggressive for much of this game. No problem with rolling Josh Allen out there if you’re looking for a strong QB option in the mid-range.

Kyle Allen | DK: $5.3k, FD: $7.2k | vs. ATL

If you’re searching for a cheap QB, I don’t see anything wrong with Kyle Allen in this spot at home. Atlanta may have held Drew Brees scoreless last week, but they still allowed him to complete 71.1% of his passes for nearly 300 yards. On the season, quarterbacks are completing just under 70% of their passes against this porous Falcons secondary. Carolina has a lofty 27.5 implied team total this week and an interesting approach could be to stack Kyle Allen with Christian McCaffrey to (likely) soak all Panther touchdowns. It’s not completely unreasonable to assume CMC could catch a touchdown or two from Allen either. This feels like a solid salary saving spot where you could expect Allen to produce around 20 fantasy points.

Running Backs to Target

Ezekiel Elliot | DK: $9k, FD: $8.4k | @ DET

Elliot is coming off of his worst game of the season (47 yards on 20 carries, 2 catches for 16 yards) so perhaps he’ll see some depressed ownership. He is going from one of the worst match-ups a running back could have (MIN 5th fewest FPPG allowed to RBs) to one of the best (Detroit 2nd most FPPG allowed to RBs). The Cowboys have one of the highest team totals on the week (26.3 points) and are 4.5 point road favorites so the potential game script feels pretty favorable for Elliot here.

Josh Jacobs | DK: $6.9k, FD: $8k | vs. CIN

This is a full on smash spot for Jacobs, assuming he is a full go this week. He’s currently listed as questionable, as he’s dealing with a shoulder injury and has only logged limited practices as of Thursday. But the feeling right now is that he plays on Sunday without many (if any) limitations on his workload. The Raiders lead all teams on the main slate with a 29.5 implied point total and are heavy 10.5 point favorites. The game script is absolutely perfect for a feature back to dominate. Cincy has been terrible on run defense (and everything else) this season, allowing the 4th most FPPG to running backs. If Jacobs gets a full practice in on Friday, fire away!

Tevin Coleman | DK: $6.1k, FD: $6.7k | vs. ARI

Matt Breida (ankle) is likely going to be sidelined for 1-to-2 weeks per Ian Rapoport and Raheem Mostert (knee) is a bit banged up as well. Coleman is likely in line for a more complete workload in the league’s most run heavy offense (SF runs on 53.2% of plays). The Cardinals defense has been killed by RBs in recent weeks, allowing 30.6 DraftKings FPPG to the running back position. In that time, they’re also allowing 7.5 receptions/game to RBs so Coleman’s PPR numbers should get a nice boost there. This is another situation where the game script could be excellent for RB production, as the 49ers currently sit at 11 point favorites at home.

Brian Hill | DK: $4.8k, FD: $5.9k | @ CAR

Hill should see the bulk of the early down work with Devonta Freeman listed as doubtful for this week after suffering a foot injury in week 10. The Panthers defense has allowed a league-high 17 rushing touchdowns this season, five more than the next closest teams (four teams have allowed 12 rushing TDs). Potential for 20 touches with a very good shot at scoring a touchdown (or two) will make Hill one of the better values at the position this week.

Wide Receivers to Target

Julio Jones | DK: $7.5k, FD: $7.8k | @ CAR

While I do like Brian Hill as a value RB candidate, the fact is that Atlanta is the most pass heavy team in the NFL. Julio’s target share may be a bit down this season from what we’re used to (22.9% target share, ranks 25th) but he’s seen at least nine targets in Atlanta’s last four games and the absence Devonta Freeman (4.9 targets/game) could also boost Jones’ looks. The Panthers are allowing the 9th most FPPG to WRs this year, so this could be a chance for Jones to have one of his patented ceiling games.

Julian Edelman | DK: $7.6k, FD: $7.4k | @ PHI

The Eagles are another team with a stout run defense (87.3 rushing YPG, 4th fewest) which results in a heavy passing attack being funneled against their poor secondary. They’re allowing the 8th most FPPG to WRs and while they are pretty solid against slot receivers, since the acquisition of Mohamed Sanu, Edelman has been running routes more often on the perimeter. The Patriots have had two weeks to prepare for this game and I believe they’ll come out slinging it.

DJ Moore | DK: $5.9k, FD: $6k | vs. ATL

In season long fantasy football, DJ Moore is being touted by many as a top ten play WR this week. I’m hard-pressed to disagree, and Moore is definitely not priced inside the top ten WRs on either site. Moore is coming on strong as of late and he has averaged 10 targets/game from Kyle Allen over the last four weeks. He gets an excellent match-up against Falcons’ perimeter cornerbacks Isaiah Oliver and Desmond Trufant, who have both been getting toasted pretty badly all season.

Terry McLaurin | DK: $5.6k, FD: $5.5k | vs. NYJ

McLaurin had a scorching start to his rookie campaign but has since cooled off in recent weeks. Dwayne Haskins Jr. has been confirmed as the the starter once again this week, which may or may not continue to result in McLaurin’s slump, but I’ll take a shot here in GPPs due to the match-up. The Jets have allowed the 2nd most FPPG to WRs this season. McClaurin will get a chance to face perimeter cornerbacks Arthur Maulet (0.65 FPs per route ran against) and Darryl Roberts (targeted on 25% of routes ran against). Once again, he’s probably a GPP-only play but he could see 8 to 10 targets and Haskins showed some promise in his last start, completing 68.2% of passes.

Deebo Samuel | DK: $4k, FD: $5.6k | vs. ARI

Emmanuel Sanders (ribs) hasn’t been practicing and George Kittle (knee) is already listed as doubtful. With those two guys also banged up last week, Samuel caught 8-of-12 targets for 112 yards against Seattle. He may very well be Jimmy G’s go-to option once again when facing a vulnerable Cardinals secondary. Deebo really looks like a potential steal on DraftKings at $4,000.

Tight Ends to Target

Darren Waller | DK: $5.5k, FD: $6.7k | @ CIN

Oakland should have plenty of chances in the redzone this week and while Waller has been trending down as Derek Carr has started to spread the ball around more, I could imagine this being a great spot to roll him out in what could very well be a ceiling game. The Bengals have allowed 73.8 YPG and six receptions/game to tight ends over their last four games.

Jared Cook | DK: $4.4k, FD: $6k | @ TB

The Bucs have been notoriously bad against tight ends this season, allowing 18.8 DraftKings FPPG to the position (2nd most in NFL). Brees targeted Cook ten times last week and while I wouldn’t expect the Saints to be playing from behind all game like they were against Atlanta, this game in general carries some real shootout potential. Michael Thomas can’t get targeted every play, right?!

Ross Dwelley | DK: $3.4k, FD: $4.9k | vs. ARI

I guess I’m really looking to pick on Arizona this week after mentioning a 49er in the RB, WR, and TE sections! As bad as the Bucs are against TEs, Arizona is even worse, allowing 22.3 DraftKings FPPG to he position. The injury to George Kittle will allow Dwelley to see a load of time on the field. Last game, in Kittle’s absence, Dwelley played on 91% of snaps and while he didn’t have a great day (3 catches for 24 yards) he still saw seven targets. If I need a cheap tight end, I’ll take my chances on him -- especially on DraftKings.

Defensive Breakdown

New England Patriots | DK: $3.5k, FD: $5k | @ PHI

This is more of a DraftKings suggestion, considering they’ve actually been priced down to $3,500. Sure, the match-up isn’t great, but this is still the same nutty defense that has scored 20+ fantasy points in five games this season. In terms of upside, no other DST has the same appeal.

New Orleans Saints | DK: $2.9k, FD: $4.8k | @ TB

Jameis Winston has been sacked 34 times this season -- most in the NFL. He also has 14 interceptions and 10 fumbles (4 lost) to his credit this season. The Bucs, in all likelihood, will be passing a lot, and that’s always the best scenario for defenses to score you fantasy points by way of sacks and turnovers (with the off chance of a touchdown return).

Weekly NFL Freeroll + LineStar Avatar

We’ll be hosting a weekly NFL freeroll on DraftKings, so remember to join!

Congrats to last week's winners:

1st: RNfourlife | 229.86

2nd: KrisK91 | 214.86

3rd: Mattkowalchuk | 200.16

DM us on Twitter to claim your prize!

Here is a link for this week’s LineStar freeroll!

• 1st place: $10 via PayPal

• 2nd-3rd place: Your choice of one-month LineStar Premium subscription, t-shirt or mug

• BONUS - If you place 1st, 2nd or 3rd in the LineStar Freeroll and you are using the LineStar avatar below, you will receive 2x that prize!

Please Note - While you may enter the LineStar freeroll as often as you’d like, you can only win each prize 1 time.

Once again, you can find me on Twitter @NitroDFS or in the LineStar NFL chat by tagging me @N1TRO. Good luck this week!

Let us know if you enjoyed the issue with a 👍/👎!

🔥 SuperDraft Multiplier Must-Play 🔥

Wow, last week’s “SuperDraft Multiplier Must-Play” really came through (Christian Kirk - 1.7x multiplier with 6 catches, 138 yards, and three touchdowns)!

My SuperDraft Multiplier must-play for this week will be Carolina's DJ Moore (1.5x multiplier). As I mentioned above, he is regarded as a top 10 overall WR play this week and he's getting a ton of attention from Kyle Allen with 10 targets/game over the last four games. Fire him up for 1.5x the production against that terrible Falcons secondary!

🚨 Get 3 Free Months of LineStar Premium 🚨

Get 3-months of LineStar Premium for new users to SuperDraft who deposit/play $10!

Terms: Partnership offers do NOT renew. See SuperDraft landing page for full terms and conditions. Must be a new user to SuperDraft and deposit and play a minimum of $10 to qualify. If you have an existing LineStar Premium subscription you get a Hat/Tee/Pen combo instead of the 3-months.