Top NFL Plays Week #5 | Rodger, Rodger 🏆

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Rodger, That!

Week 5 Breakdown - Grab The Bag💰

QB:

  • Aaron Rodgers, GB (@DAL) - CASH The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has been bottom 10 in the league so far this season (9th most Pass Yards allowed and 4th most passing TDs allowed). Siemian, Palmer, and Goff have all been able to manage 2 or more passing TDs against the Cowboys this year. The Cowboys have allowed 258 yards per game, and 2 TD/s per game so far on the season. Rodgers has several things going for him here (other than being Aaron Rodgers); the Cowboys are at home and scoring 23.5 pts/game, the 13th most in the NFL. Which means Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are going to need to keep up, as this is likely going to turn into a shootout with the Vegas over/under sitting at 52.5, currently the highest total on the slate. Also, the Packers runners are banged up and several of them could be limited for this game, Rodgers could very likely take over alone in the backfield for a good portion of the game. It's worth watching whether or not Sean Lee is going to play, without Lee the Cowboys defense is going to be in for a world of hurt from Aaron Rodgers this week.  

  • Brian Hoyer, SF (@IND) - TOURNAMENTThe Colts pass defense is ranked in the bottom 5 of the league, they have allowed 296.8 passing yards and 1.5 passing TDs per game thru the first 4 weeks. There is no doubt about it Brian Hoyer has had some completely miserable games this year, but he's faced Seattle, Arizona, and Carolina, all of whom have a top 10 pass defense on the season. Hoyer had a monster game against the Rams, the one team where he faced a below average pass defense this season. This is happening on the road for Hoyer, but gets the benefit of playing in the Colts field turf for a fast playing surface, which should help the offense. Hoyer has faced the Colts 2 times in the past 2 years (for the Bears, and Texans) and has surpassed 300 yards and 2 TDs in both games. 

  • Ben Roethlisberger, PIT (vs JAX) - Uncle Pete’s Contrarian PickThe Jaguars have the #1 pass defense in the league so far through the first 4 weeks, only allowing 166.8 pass yards/game, and 0.8 TDs/game. This fact should scare a lot of people away and keep Big Ben fairly low owned this week, making him a great contrarian pick. The Jaguars have only faced; Josh McCown, Joe Flacco, Marcus Mariota, and DeShaun Watson/Savage. That is not an impressive group, are the Jaguars really that good? Ben Roethlisberger is at home for this game, and when he's at home, he has the ability to go completely bonkers occasionally for random 6 TD games. I'd like a piece of any game where Big Ben is going to be low owned, and playing at home.

Other QBs to consider: 

  • Jay Cutler, MIA (vs TEN) - Miami's first true home game this season, facing off against a bottom 5 pass defense. Miami has weapons, Cutler may be able to use them this week.

  • Russell Wilson, SEA (@LAR) - Wilson's biggest problem has been not having time to throw the ball. The Rams only have 4 sacks on the season. With time to throw, Wilson can pick apart this defense.

  • Jacoby Brissett, IND (vs SF) - At home, facing a below average pass defense. He's had some tough matchups this year, and has a chance for a good game this week.

RB:

  • Todd Gurley II, LAR (vs SEA) - CASH Going against Seattle sounds scary, but their run defense is actually ranked in the bottom 10 of the league so far. In addition Seattle will be on the road this week and won't have their home crowd to help their defense. They have allowed Ty Montgomery, Carlos Hyde and DeMarco Murray all 19 DK FP or higher on the season. The Rams have shown that Gurley is their bell cow running back, as he's had no fewer than 16 rushing attempts and 4 pass targets a game thus far. The Rams are no longer a one dimensional team with their improved pass offense, and it's clearly making it easier for Gurley to get downfield when teams can't stack the box against him.

  •  Christian McCaffrey, CAR (@DET) - TOURNAMENT He's averaging 7.3 targets per game on the season so far, and Detroit is bottom 5 in defense versus pass catching running backs so far; allowing 59.5 passing yards and 6 receptions a game. Detroit has Darius Slay one of the best cornerbacks in the league, who can lock down at least one of Carolinas wide receivers at any given time. Cam Newton is going to need someone to throw to in this game, and it's looking like it could be McCaffrey. 

  • Wayne Gallman, NYG (vs. LAC) - ContrarianThe Chargers have allowed 152.8 rushing yards per game to running backs on the season. Yes, the Giants rush game has been complete trash for most of recent memory. However, the Giants have continued to show commitment to the run, as they don't want to become completely one dimensional. Paul Perkins looks like he's running through wet cement at any given moment, but Gallman actually looked good last week, which hasn't happened for a NYG running back in a while. We're hoping the Giants coach, Ben McAdoo, noticed this as well and decides to hand the reigns over to Gallman, who saw 11 carries to Perkins 9 carries last week.

Other RBs to consider: 

  • Seattle RB, SEA (@LAR) - Take your pick; Rawls, Prosise, Lacy, McKissic. The Rams are bottom 2 in rush defense on the season. Pete Carroll claimed that Thomas Rawls and Eddie Lacy will carry the load, but it's hard to believe anything he says.

  • Javorius Allen, BAL (@OAK) - Oakland allowed Chris Thompson 150 receiving yards in week 3, and on the year they are allowing 62 receiving yards/game to running backs.

  • Jarvis Landry, MIA (vs TEN) - CASH Landry is averaging 11 targets per game on the season so far. He'll be facing one of the worst pass defenses in the league, the Titans are allowing 2 TDs and 171.8 yards per game to wide recievers. Miami gets to play their first actual home game this season, and because of Miami's struggles so far, Landry's price has fallen below where it should be for a reciever getting this many looks down the field. Look for Landry to bounce back this week.

  • T.Y. Hilton, IND (vs SF) - TOURNAMENT Jacoby Brissett has had success versus weak pass defenses. This week he's at home and gets to face the 49ers who are allowing 1.3 touchdowns, and 173.5 receiving yards to wide recievers on the season. Hilton has had 1 big game this season, and it's no coincidence that it was also against the worst pass defense they've faced, the Cleveland Browns. Hilton has a good chance to show off his skills again this week. He makes for a good tournament play because of the high ceiling, low price, and low ownnership because of the 3 dissapointing weeks he's had this season.

  • Antonio Brown, PIT (vs JAX) - CONTRARIAN Pairing Antonio Brown up with our contrarian QB this week. For being one of the top WRs in the league, you'll have a chance to get him at his lowest ownership all season after having a dud week last week, and facing what is currently the top ranked pass defense. As we explained in Big Ben's section, the Jaguars have had an easy schedule, and this game is being played in the Steelers home. We expect Big Ben and Antonio Brown to have a good game at home this week.

Other WRs to consider:

  • Jaron Brown, ARI (@PHI) - The Eagles pass defense has just been awful so far, and Jaron Brown has quietly been one of Arizonas most consistent receivers. He's seeing targets and redzone looks, could be in line for a nice game.

  • Rashard Higgins, CLE (vs. NYJ) - The Browns have had enough of Kenny Britt, look for Rashard Higgins and Ricardo Louis to play a bigger role. The Jets are allowing 1.3 TD/s per game to WRs so far.

  • Evan Engram, NYG (vs. LAC): - Cash Engram is part of an offense with the second most pass attempts, and has been getting more and more looks each week. The matchup isn't ideal, but Engram has maintained a high floor no matter what the offense does. At an unpredictable position like tight end, his high floor combined with his relatively low price tag make him a very intriguing cash option. 

  • Benjamin Watson, BAL (@OAK) - TournamentHe has produced solid numbers in three straight weeks. In those games he's either gotten respectable catch/yard numbers, or a score. Against this weak pass defense, he has a shot to do both. Slot Ben Watson in some tournament lineups and save room for stars elsewhere.

  •  Jimmy Graham, SEA (@LAR) - Contrarian Jimmy is a hard tight end to trust, but I really like his upside in this matchup. This game has a projected total of 47 points, which is relatively high for the Seahawks. The Seahawks just lost Chris Carson for the season, and are now forced to give it to Eddie Lacy or Thomas Rawls if they want to run. I like the odds of them throwing the ball more than usual, giving Jimmy plenty of opportunity to score his overdue first touchdown of the year.

Other TEs to consider:

  • Cameron Brate, TB (vs. NE): Brate is becoming more involved with the offense by the week, and this week he gets to play the Patriots who look lost on defense. Belichick is a miracle worker, but it'd take more than a miracle to fix this defense on a short week.

  • Charles Clay, BUF (@CIN): Clay made us look good last week.

  • Ravens D/ST (@OAK) - Cash Despite not providing great returns last week, the Ravens defense is being upgraded to a cash pick this week. Statistically, the Ravens still have an elite pass defense even with the two blowout losses in their last two games. This week, they'll be facing EJ Manuel who has only 19 career TD passes, but 16 interceptions. EJ will be looking to Marshawn Lynch for help, but he's rushing for under 40 YPG. Combine this with the Vegas' low total of 40 points and you've got yourself a defense for cash games.  

  • Lions D/ST (vs. CAR) - Tournament):  The Lions have the highest scoring fantasy defense this year, and this week they'll be matched up with Cam Newton who has really struggled with his accuracy this year. Maybe Cam regained his confidence after getting to throw to wide open receivers last week, but I'll bet against that being the case. The Panthers as a team are averaging 276 YPG when they don't play New England, and they're only 22nd in the NFL in yards even with last week.

  • Browns D/ST (vs. NYJ) (Contrarian):  I can't believe taking the defense against the Jets can actually be considered a contrarian pick, but this week it looks like it will qualify. The Jets finally started giving it to the right back #FreeBilal, but the Browns actually have a solid run defense allowing the third lowest yards per carry in the league. The Browns pass defense is really shaky, but thankfully they get to go against Josh McCown. Vegas is also siding with the defenses in this one giving this game the lowest total of the week at 39.

Other DEF to consider:

  • Bills (@CIN): The numbers have Buffalo as potentially the best defense in the league. Cincinnati's offense has looked good against two bad defenses, but failed to score a touchdown against two good defenses.

  • Raiders (vs. BAL): The home team in a game with a 40-point total, the Raiders defense has a solid floor this week at the very least.

INJURIES TO WATCH:

  • Tyler Eifert, CIN - Hasn't practiced, very doubtful to play.

  • Sean Lee, DAL - Questionable... will have a big impact on DAL defense if he's gone again.

  • Davante Adams, GB - Went to the hospital with a concussion last week after a brutal hit. Looks to have a chance to play somehow.

  • Ty Montgomery, GB - Dealing with broken ribs, but sounds like he's going to try and play.

  • Marlon Mack, IND - Looks to be coming back, would take Turbin back down to 3rd fiddle.

  • Jerick McKinnon, MIN - Dealing with an ankle injury, he's probable to play, and share the workload with Latavius Murray.

  • Sam Bradford, MIN - Questionable, still dealing with the knee injury.

  • Rex Burkhead, NE - Questionable, finally back to practice this week.

  • Odell Beckham Jr, NYG - Probable, he got in a limited practice. Dealing with a dislocated finger and ankle injury.

  • Matt Forte, NYJ - Dealing with turf toe, missed practice, he's doubtful.

  • Derek Carr, OAK - Sidelined 2-4 weeks with a fracture in his back.

  • Michael Crabtree, OAK - Returned to practice, has a shot to play this week.

  • C.J. Prosise, SEA - Got in a limited practice, looking like he'll play.

  • Marquise Goodwin, SF - Concussion, got in a limited practice, likely to play.

  • Marcus Mariota, TEN - Hamstring injury, got in a limited practice, going to be a game time call.

Week 4 on DraftKings in Review:

  • Millimaker Winner “RKennedy23” scores 230.74, he did so with $0 salary left. Had 32 entries for $640; not a bad ROI! His next best lineup did 196.24, for 734th place, $200. Winning LU had Cam Newton as QB. His worst lineup did 128.68 and Won $0. Guess his million makes up for that 😜Oh, he was 38.4 short of the perfect lineup (269.14)

  • The $100k winner of the $3entry was “ptm777” he had 5 total entries. He scored 232.92... and would have taken down the millimaker too if he had entered that 😔 all good he won $100k, and his worst lineup did 80.56 - so don’t feel bad about your lineup haha!

Here's what the Week 4, PERFECT Lineup looked like...

Week 4 Perfect Lineup (NFL)

You can always watch it come together every week in real-time:

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