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Main Slate Rundown 📝

Week 12 gives us an 11-game main slate that feels relatively balanced. We’ve got a couple of potential blowouts on the board (DET, BAL, and SEA favored by double digits), but also several tightly lined games that should stay competitive wire to wire. A few matchups carry real shootout potential -- NYG/DET and IND/KC both sit at 50.5 totals, with PHI/DAL and JAX/ARI not far behind. Weather across the board seems pretty immaculate as well. Let’s dig in! Best of luck!

Main slate match-ups with implied point totals and spreads:

Weather Report 🌦️

There are zero notable weather situations this week!

Quarterbacks to Consider

Potential quarterback targets at high/mid/low price points.

Drake Maye, NE | DK: $6.9k, FD: $8.4k | at CIN

Drake Maye has taken a real step forward in his sophomore season, pairing sharp downfield efficiency with steady rushing production to keep his weekly floor strong. He leads all QBs in passing yards, completion% (71.9%), and adjusted yards gained per attempt (9.41). Maye is 2nd in yards/completion (12.3) and passer rating (113.2). Even with a slight dip recently, two of his last three outings were still solid, and the one lackluster game came on a short-week Thursday spot where TreVeyon Henderson and the Patriots’ run game handled most of the scoring. His usage hasn’t changed, and he’s still pushing the ball with confidence. This week sets up well for a rebound fantasy performance. Cincinnati has struggled to contain explosive passing plays and has consistently allowed strong fantasy outings to opposing quarterbacks, yielding the 2nd-most adjusted FPPG to QBs. With New England carrying one of the highest implied totals (28.5) on the slate, Maye walks into a high-ceiling environment and is a worthy spend-up QB target this week.

Jalen Hurts, PHI | DK: $6.6k, FD: $9k | at DAL

The Eagles’ passing attack hasn’t exactly packed a punch this season, as star WR AJ Brown would be happy to tell you, but Hurts has still been efficient when he’s asked to throw, keeping strong per-attempt numbers and taking care of the ball. He is 6th among all QBs in adjusted yards per attempt (8.44) and owns a near-perfect 16:1 TD:INT ratio. His rushing production is what’s really dipped -- fewer yards per game and a slower touchdown pace than what we’re used to -- which has trimmed some of his week-winning upside. Even so, without some of the crazy dual-threat stat lines we’ve seen out of Hurts in the past, he remains the QB6 in FPPG this season. This divisional matchup will be a big draw. Dallas has had issues with explosive passes -- allowing the 2nd-most 20+ yard completions and the 3rd-highest completion rate (48.8%) on 20+ yard pass attempts. Overall, they’ve allowed the most adjusted FPPG to QBs and check in at 30th in pass DVOA. The Cowboys have also given up the 7th-most rushing yards to QBs, along with four rushing TDs to the position. If the Dallas offense can put up points and force the Eagles to stay aggressive, this should end up being one of Hurts’ best statistical outings of the season.

Jacoby Brissett, ARI | DK: $5.3k, FD: $7.3k | vs. JAX

Brissett has provided steady fantasy production since taking over, passing for multiple TDs and clearing 20 DK points in all five starts while ranking as the QB4 in FPPG since his first start back in week six. He’s getting plenty of volume in this offense, averaging over 42 attempts per game and topping 36 in every outing but one. Last week’s NFL single-game record of 47 completions (on 57 attempts) was clearly an outlier, but it highlighted how pass-heavy Arizona can skew when the game script forces their hand. Brissett has also added modest rushing value, which is a nice little bonus. The Jaguars' defense has been nothing special at containing QBs. They’re allowing the 8th-most adjusted FPPG to QBs. Jacksonville is also allowing +26% more FPPG to QBs when away -- QBs are averaging 26.8 FPPG against them when the Jags are on the road. Brissett’s DFS price points continue to creep up, but not nearly as fast as they should, given his consistently strong results since taking over as Arizona’s starter.

Running Backs to Consider

Potential running back targets at high/mid/low price points.

Jonathan Taylor, IND | DK: $10k, FD: $10k | at KC

JT comes out of the bye playing better than any running back in football, fresh off a 244-yard, 3-TD demolition of Atlanta in Berlin. He’s looked like a legit MVP candidate and leads all RBs in basically every rushing metric, standard or advanced, that you can think of. The workload has been everything you want from a high-end back -- explosive play rate, goal-line dominance, and consistent volume whenever games stay competitive. The $10k tag on both sites is steep, but Taylor’s combination of breakaway ability and elite efficiency gives him slate-breaking upside every time he steps on the field. Even in a tough road matchup at Kansas City, JT remains one of the few backs who can bury a slate on raw talent alone, and he’s likely going to be around or below 10% ownership on this slate.

Bijan Robinson, ATL | DK: $8.5k, FD: $9.6k | at NO

It’s been a mixed season for Bijan, mostly because the Falcons still insist on using Tyler Allgeier near the goal line -- Allgeier actually leads the team in inside-the-5 carries, which isn’t ideal for an RB1 at this salary. Even so, Bijan continues to shine everywhere else. His elite pass-game usage (5.9 targets/gm) remains intact with a strong target share -- and that figures to continue with star WR Drake London sidelined this week. And he’s been efficient on the ground at 5.0 yards per carry with big-play ability whenever he gets space. Robinson is 2nd in the NFL in both Avoided Tackle Rate (36.7%) and Juke Rate (6.3%), trailing only Jonathan Taylor and Jahmyr Gibbs in each metric, respectively. Last week’s usage was also encouraging, as Bijan handled most of the team’s close-in rushing work and punched in two touchdowns while garnering 27 total touches. If that shift sticks even partially, it raises his ceiling considerably. With Michael Penix Jr. out and Atlanta likely leaning harder on its best offensive player, Robinson should remain a focal point against New Orleans. The Saints (10th in rush DVOA) have been solid against the run for much of the season, but they’ve broken down a bit of late, allowing 135.8 rush YPG and the 8th-most FPPG to the RB position over their last four games.

Derrick Henry, BAL | DK: $7.6k, FD: $8.4k | vs. NYJ

It hasn’t been a vintage King Henry season, as the 31-year-old has shown some decline with reduced efficiency and fewer broken tackles than we’re used to seeing. Still, he finally snapped out of the slump last week with his first 100-yard, 1-TD game since Week 1, and doing that on the road against Cleveland’s top-ranked run defense (CLE: 1st in rush DVOA) was no small feat. If he can get rolling in that matchup, a home spot against the Jets should certainly put another strong performance within reach. New York’s run defense has been on the decline, and trading away run-stuffing DT Quinnen Williams ahead of this year’s deadline only weakens their interior further. The implied game script also sets up well, with Baltimore favored by multiple scores -- a situation where Henry historically thrives because he gets fed in clock-burning situations. Henry has also had a knack for getting stronger and posting better single-game results as the season wears on, so perhaps we get a bit of a vintage King Henry performance this Sunday afternoon.

Chase Brown, CIN | DK: $6.2k, FD: $6.9k | vs. NE

Chase Brown has thrived with Joe Flacco under center, averaging strong fantasy production over the past month, ranking as the RB6 in FPPG in that stretch, and operating like a true workhorse. His recent usage has been elite -- massive snap rates, dominant carry share, and heavy involvement as a receiver out of the backfield. Brown has also handled all of Cincinnati’s inside-the-5 work during this stretch and has cleared 18 DKFP points in back-to-back games despite not finding the end zone. The matchup isn’t ideal, as New England has been one of the league’s toughest run defenses and has allowed the 4th-fewest adjusted FPPG to RBs. But Brown’s passing-game volume helps offset that concern, with 21 targets across his last two outings giving him a strong floor even if the ground game stalls. The absence of superstar WR Ja’Marr Chase (suspension) should also further cement Brown’s role as a pass catcher. With this matchup carrying a high total and his workload locked in, Brown remains firmly in play despite the difficult defensive front he’ll be up against.

Kareem Hunt, KC | DK: $5.1k, FD: $6.4k | vs. IND

Hunt steps into another week of starter-level volume with Isiah Pacheco still sidelined, and his recent usage has been about as clean as it gets. He’s logged a 78%+ snap share in back-to-back games and handled every designed rushing attempt in last week’s matchup, converting one for a touchdown. Kansas City’s offense skews heavily pass-first, but Hunt’s role has been stable enough to matter at this salary. This spot also sets up better than last week’s matchup with Denver. The Chiefs carry one of the higher implied totals (27.0 implied points) on the slate, and Indianapolis (19th in rush DVOA) hasn’t been nearly as tough defensively. With Kansas City sitting as 3.5-point home favorites, and finding themselves in unfamiliar territory, fighting to stay in the playoff mix with a 5-5 record instead of coasting to a top AFC seed, Hunt should remain involved throughout, giving him a clear path to volume-driven value.

Quick Hits:

• If Josh Jacobs (knee/questionable) is ruled out, Emanuel Wilson (DK: $5.3k, FD: $6.5k) becomes an appealing value RB to target.

• If Rhamondre Stevenson (toe/questionable) is ruled out for a fourth consecutive game, TreVeyon Henderson (DK: $6.7k, FD: $7.5k) becomes a smash play. Although even if Stevenson is back in the mix, Henderson has likely done enough over these last couple of weeks to prove that he should be the clear-cut RB1 in this offense -- similar to how Rico Dowdle forced the Panthers’ coaching staff’s hand this season, when he leapfrogged Chuba Hubbard as the primary RB following some big individual performances.

Wide Receivers to Consider

Potential wide receiver targets at high/mid/low price points.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, DET | DK: $8k, FD: $9.2k | vs. NYG

ARSB sits firmly among the top high-end WR options to target this week. Detroit draws a dream matchup at home against a struggling Giants defense, and their 31.5 implied total leads the slate by a decent margin. St. Brown’s usage has only climbed in 2025 -- he’s commanding a stout 31.4% Target% (3rd highest in the NFL) after sitting at 27% last year -- and whenever the Lions throw, the offense still funnels through him. Last week’s modest box score came in a rough matchup vs. Philadelphia, but he still saw 12 targets, reinforcing how bankable his volume is. ARSB’s usage in the redzone is where he has really set himself apart from many other star WRs in the NFL. He has commanded a monster 46.2% RedZone Target% and has found the end zone eight times. With TE Sam LaPorta (back/IR) seemingly done for the season, St. Brown’s redzone usage is even further cemented.

Tee Higgins, CIN | DK: $7.1k, FD: $7.5k | vs. NE

With Ja’Marr Chase suspended, Tee Higgins steps into a clear opportunity spike and should see a significant bump in volume. Joe Flacco has been aggressive through the air, and Chase’s recent 36% target share leaves a significant target vacuum for Higgins to absorb. While he hasn’t shown the same level of chemistry with Flacco, the sheer volume available makes Higgins a strong bet for increased usage in Week 12. And it isn’t as if Higgins has struggled with Flacco in at QB -- he has been on the receiving end of five touchdowns over the last four weeks. The matchup against New England isn’t the softest, but it’s not one to fear either, especially with Cincinnati likely leaning pass-heavy again in a game that they’re 7.5-point underdogs in. The Patriots have also ranked dead last in WR1 DVOA, which gives us further confidence in Higgins as the interim WR1 this week.

Of course, Higgins won’t directly receive all of the targets that Chase leaves behind. So, if you’re looking for a cheaper option, Andrei Iosivas (DK: $4.1k, FD: $5.6k) is an intriguing play as he should operate as the WR2 this Sunday.

Stefon Diggs, NE | DK: $6.5k, FD: $6.7k | at CIN

Diggs has had his snap counts limited this season, being just over a year removed from a torn ACL at this point, but his role has quietly stabilized of late. He’s coming off a season-high 69% snap%, 89% route participation in Week 11, and drew 34% of the team’s targets. So, while he may not be a traditional near-every-snap WR1, he has been the clear top WR when he’s been out on the field. This matchup also works in his favor. Cincinnati’s pass defense has been one of the league’s worst since the start of last year, and they’ve remained highly vulnerable again this season, ranking dead last in pass DVOA. Even though they’ve been better at containing wideouts specifically, the overall softness of this secondary still gives Diggs plenty of upside. With the Patriots sitting at a strong implied total, Diggs carries clear tournament appeal at these salaries, especially if you’re looking to stack with Drake Maye.

Zay Flowers, BAL | DK: $6.3k, FD: $7.0k | vs. NYJ

Baltimore enters Week 12 with the second-highest implied total (29.0) on the slate, and while most eyes will be on Derrick Henry in a projected run-heavy script, as discussed, Zay Flowers still carries real upside. He owns close to a 30% target share on the season and now faces a Jets defense that traded away its top two corners and lost one of its best pass-rushers at the deadline. Even if the Ravens lean on the ground game late, there’s plenty of room for Flowers to make an early impact through the air. His ceiling hasn’t popped often this year, but this is one of the cleanest matchups he’s seen. The Jets have been softest against the slot and right perimeter, which is where Flowers has combined to run nearly 75% of his routes.

AJ Brown, PHI | DK: $5.9k, FD: $7.9k | at DAL

It’s been a frustrating season for A.J. Brown, as Philadelphia’s passing game has sputtered and his production has dipped right along with it. Still, the volume finally spiked last week -- 11 targets and a massive 40.7% target share -- showing the Eagles are at least attempting to get their star receiver involved after his publicly made comments surrounding the frustration he’s had with his usage. The final receiving line wasn’t impressive last week (7-49-0), but the workload was exactly what AJ Brown truthers (and AJ Brown himself) have been waiting for. If that type of usage sticks, Brown is set up well against a Dallas defense that has struggled mightily in coverage. The Cowboys are allowing the 2nd-most FPPG to perimeter WRs, and Brown runs his routes almost exclusively on the outside, with a 90% PerimeterRoute%.

Michael Wilson, ARI | DK: $4.8k, FD: $6.3k | vs. JAX

Wilson has logged plenty of snaps this season (79% snap%) without much production, but Marvin Harrison Jr.’s absence last week finally opened the door for expanded usage. Wilson took full advantage, drawing an absurd 18 targets and turning them into 15 catches for 185 yards, finishing as the highest-scoring WR on the slate despite not scoring a touchdown. Of course, Arizona’s 57 pass attempts won’t be the norm moving forward, but Wilson’s underlying usage was still elite -- a 32.1% target share and, perhaps more notably, he ate up a whopping 64.9% of the team’s Week 11 airyards. Even with the target volume regressing, those rates point to a legitimate role increase heading into Week 12 while MHJ remains sidelined.

Jakobi Meyers, JAX | DK: $4.7k, FD: $6k | at ARI

With WR Brian Thomas Jr. still out and WR/CB Travis Hunter on the IR, Jakobi Meyers steps in as one of Jacksonville’s clear top targets. Meyers’ role has expanded quickly since the Jags acquired him ahead of the trade deadline, jumping from a 44% snap% and 50% RouteParticipation% in his Jags debut to a 65% snap% and 83% RouteParticipation% last week. That bump immediately translated into volume, as Meyers drew a team-leading 27.3% target share and 35.1% AirYard% against the Chargers despite the Jaguars throwing only 22 times in a comfortable win. Week 12 should demand more from the passing game, and Meyers profiles as one of the best salary-saving WRs on the slate. His rapidly increasing usage points to legitimate double-digit target potential, making him an appealing mid-value option in a spot where Jacksonville may need to lean more heavily on Trevor Lawrence.

Tight Ends to Consider

Tight end targets at high/mid/low price points.

Trey McBride, ARI | DK: $6.8k, FD: $8.5k | vs. JAX

No surprise here. Trey McBride has completely separated himself from the rest of the tight end pool, sitting far ahead of the field in fantasy production and stacking multiple top-tier finishes over the past month. His usage is first-class for the position -- a massive target share (27.5%, 1st among TEs), big air-yard involvement (27.7% AirYard%, 1st among TEs), and steady volume that has only grown with Jacoby Brissett under center. McBride has piled up 57 targets over his last five games and has topped 100 receiving yards in back-to-back weeks. The biggest recent shift has been the touchdowns. After struggling to score early in his career with Kyler Murray doing Kyler Murray things, McBride has seen a huge uptick in end-zone usage and has already matched nearly his entire career TD total across Brissett’s five starts. Now he gets a Jaguars defense that has struggled badly against tight ends this year -- only the bumbling Bengals defense has allowed more fantasy production to TEs than the Jags. Over the last four games alone, the Jags have allowed nearly 90 YPG, 8.3 receptions/gm, and 1.3 TDs/gm to tight ends. His salaries keep climbing, but McBride’s role and production remain unmatched at the position.

Kyle Pitts, ATL | DK: $4.3k, FD: $4.9k | at NO

Pitts’ career has been frustrating to track, as his pre-draft hype hasn’t translated into consistent production. He sits in the middle of the pack in TE scoring this year, but there’s at least a bit of optimism heading into Week 12 with Kirk Cousins under center. Cousins leaned heavily on Pitts in his first start back in Week 8, sending nine targets his way, resulting in a team-leading 30% target share. With Drake London out (London was also out in that Week 8 game), Pitts should see another bump in opportunities. The matchup also helps. New Orleans has been shaky against the pass and sits near the bottom of the league in several coverage metrics, and they’re a subpar 23rd in TE DVOA.

AJ Barner, SEA | DK: $3.3k, FD: $5.5k | at TEN

It hasn’t been consistent, but Barner has turned in a handful of really serviceable fantasy weeks (by TE standards) throughout this season. He is coming off a particularly intriguing game in Week 11 when he caught 10-of-11 targets for 70 yards, ending the day with just one fewer target than superstar WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Even some of the best tight ends in the game can go an entire season without posting double-digit targets in a game, so it was nice to see QB Sam Darnold pepper his top tight end with so much volume, even if that is going to be an outlier. Barner is rarely coming off the field, logging at least a 78% snap% in eight games this season, and he’s been utilized quite heavily when the Seahawks close in on paydirt, owning a strong 23.3% RedZone Target%. The Titans have been a bit more forgiving versus TEs in recent weeks, and the Seahawks (27.0 implied points) are in a great position to put plenty of points up on the board.

Defenses to Consider

D/ST is a very volatile “position” and shouldn’t take up too much time in your DFS research. However, here are some D/STs I’m on board with this week.

Pay-Up D/ST: Seattle Seahawks | DK: $4k, FD: $5k | at TEN

Mid-Range D/ST: Cleveland Browns | DK: $2.9k, FD: $4.4k | at LV

Value D/ST: New Orleans Saints | DK: $2.5k, FD: $3.2k | vs. ATL

Once again, if you have any questions DM me on Twitter or hit me up in LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries. Good luck this week!