Week 16 (Saturday Main Slate) NFL DFS Guide + Cheat Sheet | Breaking the Ice on a Frigid Christmas Eve Slate! 🥶

Christmas Eve is jam-packed with all of the NFL action a football junkie could desire with a 10-game slate waiting on deck. Let’s beat Santa to the punch and stuff our own stockings with some DFS and player prop profits!

Week 16 NFL PreSnap Podcast 🎙️

Catch Tyler Wiemann and Shannon Sommerville's run down on this Sunday's NFL DFS main slate!

Also, for anyone looking to roll out some NFL props this week, be sure to check out the info and videos at the end of this article featuring usage of LineStar's new Prop Edge+ for NFL tool. This tool can help make prop bettors some extra cash -- especially on sites like PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

A free six-pick PrizePicks "Power Play" is posted at the end of this article as well!

Week 16 DFS Main Slate Rundown 📝

Happy Holidays to you all and I sincerely hope everyone is staying warm while much of America deals with this brutal cold snap! Most folks are very busy around this time of year so we’re going to keep things very short, sweet, and to the point for this week’s NFL main slate newsletter. The normal content routine will get back on track next week but this NFL edition will substitute individual player breakdowns for a cheat sheet format. Enjoy the holidays and be sure to make time for friends and family this weekend… or just relax on the couch with a few hot toddies and watch as much football as possible -- both are solid options.

Main slate match-ups with implied point totals and spreads:

Weather Report

As a reminder, weather plays less of a factor in football than it does in other sports but it is still worth making note of any games that could see wet conditions, high winds, or (when we get into the winter months) frigid, snowy conditions.

The forecasts can always change so, as always, run a final weather check closer to kickoff!

We’ve got quite the unique main slate this week, as far as weather conditions go. There are only two games on Saturday that will be played indoors and the rest of the country is nearly frozen solid. Cold temps alone don’t have a major impact on overall scoring but we will still highlight games with some notable weather impacts.

DET @ CAR (1:00 ET, 43.5 O/U): Temps in the 20s with ~10 mph winds. Certainly cold for the Carolinas but not as bad as other outdoor games on this slate.

ATL @ BAL (1:00 ET, 34.5 O/U): Temps in the teens with 15+ mph winds and stronger gusts.

SEA @ KC (1:00 ET, 49.5 O/U): Game time temps around 10-15 degrees with 10-15 mph winds. It won’t be pleasant weather to play in but this game still holds the highest total on the slate.

BUF @ CHI (1:00 ET, 40 O/U): Single-digit temps with 20 mph sustained winds (30+ mph gusts). The passing game gets a downgrade here.

CIN @ NE (1:00 ET, 41.5 O/U): Temps in the high teens with 10-15 mph winds. Pretty “par for the course” as far as weather goes for this slate.

HOU @ TEN (1:00 ET, 35.5 O/U): Near-identical conditions as the CIN @ NE game above.

NO @ CLE (1:00 ET, 32 O/U): Likely the worst conditions on the slate. Temps around 10 degrees but the wind is the big factor here. 25-30 mph sustained winds with 40+ mph gusts. Chance for snow, as well. The wind chill factor could make it “feel” as low as -25 degrees during this game. Rough stuff. Not surprising to see a slate-low 32 O/U here.

🏈 NFL Saturday Main Slate Cheat Sheet 🏈

Click the Cheat Sheet for the Direct Image Link

Defenses to Consider

D/ST is a very volatile “position” and shouldn’t take up too much time in your DFS research. However, here are some D/STs I’m on board with this week.

Pay-Up D/ST: Baltimore Ravens | DK: $3.2k, FD: $4.9k | vs. ATL

Mid-Range D/ST: New Orleans Saints | DK: $2.8k, FD: $3.8k | @ CLE

DraftKings Value: Dallas Cowboys | DK: $2.6k, FD: $4k | vs. PHI

DraftKings Value: Philadelphia Eagles | DK: $2.2k, FD: $4.4k | @ DAL

Stacks & Bring Backs 🥞

Below are a few team/game stack ideas to consider for this slate. In some examples, I will include a “bring back” option which will feature a normal "QB + Receiver" stack along with a player from the opposing team in the same game that could also benefit should the primary "QB + Receiver" stack go off.

QB + WR/TE + Opp Receiver (Game Stack)

Geno Smith, DK Metcalf, Travis Kelce

QB + WR/TE + Opp Receiver (Game Stack)

Kirk Cousins, Justin Jefferson, Darius Slayton

QB + Two Pass Catchers (Double Stack)

Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, Dalton Schultz

QB + Two Pass Catchers (Double Stack)

Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins

Full Team Stack - QB/WR/RB

Patrick Mahomes, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Jerick McKinnon

Value Team Stack

Gardner Minshew II, Miles Sanders, DeVonta Smith

“Ugly Duckling Game Stack” | QB + WR + Opp WR

Jared Goff, Amon-Ra St. Brown, DJ Moore

Touchdown Call 🏈

RB Jerick McKinnon | DK: $5.9k, FD: $7.3k | vs. SEA

Reminder: Follow @LineStarApp on Twitter and retweet the weekly Touchdown Calls tweet! Three retweeters are randomly selected and assigned a player from the TD calls between myself, @FlatTyler83, and @ShannonOnSports. If your player scores a touchdown, you’ll win your choice of cash (via PayPal) or a one-month subscription to LineStar!

PrizePicks Saturday NFL Power Play ⚡

This is a six-pick NFL "Power Play" I have over on PrizePicks. Nothing is ever a guarantee to hit but these props did stand out so I'll be rolling it out with confidence! If it hits, it will return a 25x payout!

Hey, it's Christmas... let's swing for the fences with a six-pick (25/1 payout!) and hope to recoup some holiday shopping expenses!

INSIDER INJURY KNOWLEDGE FROM PRO SPORTS TEAM DOCTORS TO GIVE YOU A WINNING EDGE!

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🆕 Props Edge+ 🆕

In LineStar’s ongoing mission to improve, innovate, and help you reel in some cash, we are introducing Props Edge+ for NFL – available for LineStar Premium users! This tool can help you find value and mispriced odds on player props from sportsbooks and, more specifically, for PrizePicks and UnderDog Fantasy!

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Once again, if you have any questions DM me on Twitter or hit me up in LineStar chat @Ryan_Humphries. Good luck this week!

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